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PTCPTC Inc.Buy Wait6.7·$118.18+2.90%
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PTC Inc. (PTC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $134.40 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. The company earns revenue through software subscriptions — 95% of 2025 revenue was recurring — with... Read more

$118.18+46.5% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#4 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.22%
Entry $134.40(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $122.25Target $164.46(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$182.74+54.6%19 analysts
$164.46our TP
$118.18price
$182.74mean
$230

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $134.40 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.94, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About PTC Inc.

About PTC Inc.

PTC's subscription software platform served more than 30,000 customers globally in fiscal 2025, with 95% of annual revenue classified as recurring. The company's 7,642 full-time employees develop PLM products — Windchill, Codebeamer, ServiceMax, Arena, and Servigistics — and CAD tools including Creo and Onshape, across five customer verticals: industrials, federal/aerospace and defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. Approximately 75% of sales are direct, with resellers covering smaller accounts.

PTC earns revenue through software subscriptions providing access to PLM and CAD suites, with Windchill addressing product data management across the product development lifecycle, Creo serving 3D parametric design, and ServiceMax handling field service management. Approximately 75% of sales are made directly by the company's sales force targeting large enterprise accounts, with the remaining 25% through third-party resellers covering smaller businesses. Growth comes primarily from existing customers expanding their PTC software footprint and multi-product adoption, alongside commercial pricing optimization and new customer wins. Competition is intense: Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes SA, and Siemens AG compete in PLM and CAD; IBM and Siemens AG compete in ALM; and Oracle, SAP, IFS AB, Microsoft, and Salesforce compete in field service and SLM. A large amount of PTC's sales are to customers in the discrete manufacturing sector, making results sensitive to manufacturing activity cycles and macroeconomic factors that affect capital spending by manufacturers.

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PTC's PLM and CAD products compete against Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes SA, and Siemens AG — all of which hold greater brand recognition and longer-standing relationships at large enterprise accounts. The 10-K notes these competitors have more financial, technical, and marketing resources, which may limit PTC's ability to gain customer confidence or displace incumbents. The company's SaaS transition adds a further dimension: Arena and Onshape are cloud-native solutions, while Windchill+ and Creo+ are newer SaaS offerings. If competing SaaS PLM and CAD solutions from Autodesk or Dassault Systèmes attract new buyers before Windchill+ and Creo+ mature, PTC could lose market share among enterprise accounts evaluating cloud migrations.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From PTC Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$13.7B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn41.6%
ROE34.4%
Rev Growth21.7%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C33.47bearish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$110-6.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $108.50Resistance $149.47

Price Targets

$122
$134
$164
A.Upside+39.2%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTC stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $134.40 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.94, quality 8.3/10, growth 8.9/10). Target $164.46 (+39.2%), stop $122.25 (−-3.3%), Setup A.R:R 7.4:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $164.46 (+46.5% upside). Target $164.46 (+39.2%), stop $122.25 (−-3.3%), Setup A.R:R 7.4:1. Stop-loss: $122.25.

What are the risks of investing in PTC?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PTC overvalued or undervalued?

PTC Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PTC?

25 analysts cover PTC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $183.

What does PTC Inc. do?PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense,...

PTC develops industrial software for PLM and CAD, serving over 30,000 customers globally across industrials, defense, electronics, automotive, and medical technology. The company earns revenue through software subscriptions — 95% of 2025 revenue was recurring — with approximately 75% of sales direct and 25% through resellers, competing against Autodesk, Dassault Systèmes, and Siemens.

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