This software business compounds at elite rates — a Rule of 40 score of 63, 38% revenue growth, and free cash flow exceeding net income — while trading at a PEG ratio of 0.25; the near-term setup is clouded by a confirmed price downtrend and elevated short interest, but the underlying quality and roughly 3.6-to-1 risk/reward support a recovery-oriented position for aggressive-risk investors.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Software Unit Economics→Stable
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Growth At Attractive Valuation↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Grindr Inc. (GRND) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Application
Buy now at $15.77. A.R:R 2.2:1 at $15.77 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $18.10 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$2 per share to target. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Grindr operates a global social networking platform serving 15.0 million monthly active users across more than 190 countries, primarily targeting the LGBTQ community with free and subscription-based mobile app features. The platform generated revenue from 1.3 million paying... Read more
Buy now at $15.77. A.R:R 2.2:1 at $15.77 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $18.10 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$2 per share to target. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.82, quality 8.9/10, growth 8.5/10). Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=technology 9/10 self excluded). Suitability: aggressive.
About Grindr Inc.
About Grindr Inc.
Grindr's platform reached 15.0 million Average MAUs in 2025 — a 5.2% increase over 2024 — with 1.3 million Average Paying Users representing 16.9% year-over-year growth, spanning more than 190 countries and territories in 21 supported languages. Established in 2009, the company describes itself as the largest global GBTQ-focused mobile social platform. The company employs 165 people globally, including a dedicated contractor team of 29 full-time engineers in Colombia, and is headquartered in West Hollywood, California.
Grindr earns direct revenue from subscriptions and add-ons that unlock premium features — expanded profile access, advanced filters, and an AI-native tier called Edge, which began testing in 2025. Indirect revenue comes from third-party advertisers targeting the LGBTQ audience. The platform is distributed exclusively through the Apple App Store and Google Play Store, which also process substantially all direct consumer payments. In May 2025, the company launched Woodwork by Grindr, a telehealth subscription service powered by OpenLoop Health Inc., marking the first expansion beyond the core social networking product. User acquisition spend is described as negligible, with growth driven primarily by first-mover brand positioning and network scale. The 10-K identifies AI tools as reducing barriers to entry for companion and digital relationship products, which could reduce demand for traditional social networking interactions.
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Grindr's distribution is concentrated in two platforms: the Apple App Store and Google Play Store handle both app access and substantially all direct consumer payment processing. The 10-K identifies this as a material risk — if Apple or Google were to limit, prohibit, or otherwise interfere with distribution, it could materially and adversely affect business and financial condition. The 10-K also identifies data center service providers and internet transit providers as additional operational dependencies, meaning the company's revenue-generating infrastructure depends on a small set of external counterparties.
See also: Technology · Software - Application
From Grindr Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-26Recent Developments — Grindr Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Grindr (GRND) Following Its HIV Prevention Pledge And The Undervalued Narrative - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS Grindr (GRND) Could Be 9% Undervalued As HIV Prevention Pledge Draws Focus - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Grindr (GRND) Could Be 9% Undervalued As HIV Prevention Pledge Draws Focus - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Grindr (GRND) Is Up 9.9% After Major HIV Prevention Push Aims To Reach 10 Million Users - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Grindr (GRND) Is Up 9.9% After Major HIV Prevention Push Aims To Reach 10 Million Users - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
Generated 2026-09-26T03:22:10Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHcounterpartyApple App Store and Google Play Store10-K Item 1A: 'We rely primarily on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store ... processing substantially all direct consumer payments.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-05Item 5.02LOWAt June 2, 2026 annual meeting, stockholders approved amended 2022 Equity Incentive Plan adding 11,600,000 shares and requiring stockholder approval for repricing of outstanding awards. No officer departures.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Buy now at $15.77. A.R:R 2.2:1 at $15.77 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $18.10 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$2 per share to target. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.82, quality 8.9/10, growth 8.5/10). Target $18.10 (+14.8%), stop $14.71 (−7.2%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $18.10 (+14.7% upside). Target $18.10 (+14.8%), stop $14.71 (−7.2%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $14.71.
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Apple App Store and Google Play Store; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Grindr Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.1 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Strong Buy.
11 analysts cover GRND with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.
What does Grindr Inc. do?Grindr operates a global social networking platform serving 15.0 million monthly active users across more than 190...
Grindr operates a global social networking platform serving 15.0 million monthly active users across more than 190 countries, primarily targeting the LGBTQ community with free and subscription-based mobile app features. The platform generated revenue from 1.3 million paying subscribers and advertising in 2025, with 165 employees globally and headquarters in West Hollywood, California.