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Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $46.84. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.25. Engine's entry $46.84 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Clear Secure operates a biometric identity platform with CLEAR+ consumer aviation lanes at 60 airports, TSA PreCheck enrollment at 61 airports, and CLEAR1 B2B identity verification for healthcare, workforce, and government organizations. As of Dec 31, 2025, it had 38 million... Read more

$52.25+17.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#60 of 96 Software - Application
Entry $46.84(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $41.68Target $58.33(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$55.00+5.3%7 analysts
$58.33our TP
$52.25price
$55.00mean
$33
$65

Wait for pullback to $46.84. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.25. Engine's entry $46.84 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.17, quality 7.6/10, growth 8.3/10). Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.6
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA22.7
Profit Mgn12.1%
ROE76.0%
Rev Growth16.7%
Beta1.08
Dividend1.13%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.34bearish
IV122%elevated
Max Pain$28-46.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductCLEAR+
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have derived substantially all of our historical revenue from CLEAR+, our consumer aviation subscription service'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    General Counsel Lynn Haaland departing April 3, 2026 by mutual agreement. Company to provide 12 additional months of salary. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
5.4
Quality Rank
7.7
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.38Resistance $59.52

Price Targets

$42
$47
$58
A.Upside+11.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YOU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $46.84. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.25. Engine's entry $46.84 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.17, quality 7.6/10, growth 8.3/10). Target $58.33 (+11.6%), stop $41.68 (−25.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YOU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.33 (+17.4% upside). Target $58.33 (+11.6%), stop $41.68 (−25.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $41.68.

What are the risks of investing in YOU?

Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is YOU overvalued or undervalued?

Clear Secure, Inc. trades at a P/E of 47.6 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about YOU?

13 analysts cover YOU with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Clear Secure, Inc. do?Clear Secure operates a biometric identity platform with CLEAR+ consumer aviation lanes at 60 airports, TSA PreCheck...

Clear Secure operates a biometric identity platform with CLEAR+ consumer aviation lanes at 60 airports, TSA PreCheck enrollment at 61 airports, and CLEAR1 B2B identity verification for healthcare, workforce, and government organizations. As of Dec 31, 2025, it had 38 million Total CLEAR Members; substantially all historical revenue from CLEAR+ subscription fees.

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