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PTC Inc. (PTC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $134.40. BUY gates pass at $143.94, but sector modifier (Technology): -0.8 and below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $134.40 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

PTC is a global industrial software company serving 30,000+ customers in discrete manufacturing, defense/aerospace, automotive, and medical technology with PLM (Windchill, Codebeamer), CAD (Creo, Onshape), ALM, and field service (ServiceMax) solutions. 95% of 2025 revenue is... Read more

$143.94+15.9% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#4 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.88%
Entry $134.40(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $123.91Target $165.51(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1Setup A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$183.89+27.8%19 analysts
$165.51our TP
$143.94price
$183.89mean
$230

Wait for pullback to $134.40. BUY gates pass at $143.94, but sector modifier (Technology): -0.8 and below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $134.40 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — PTC Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$16.8B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn41.6%
ROE34.4%
Rev Growth21.7%
Beta0.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$95-34.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $132.76Resistance $153.98

Price Targets

$124
$134
$166
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R1.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts25
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$184

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $134.40. BUY gates pass at $143.94, but sector modifier (Technology): -0.8 and below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $134.40 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $165.51 (+15.0%), stop $123.91 (−16.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $165.51 (+15.9% upside). Target $165.51 (+15.0%), stop $123.91 (−16.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $123.91.

What are the risks of investing in PTC?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PTC overvalued or undervalued?

PTC Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PTC?

25 analysts cover PTC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $184.

What does PTC Inc. do?PTC is a global industrial software company serving 30,000+ customers in discrete manufacturing, defense/aerospace,...

PTC is a global industrial software company serving 30,000+ customers in discrete manufacturing, defense/aerospace, automotive, and medical technology with PLM (Windchill, Codebeamer), CAD (Creo, Onshape), ALM, and field service (ServiceMax) solutions. 95% of 2025 revenue is recurring under a subscription model with 7,642 employees as of September 30, 2025.

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