Skip to main content

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $985.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Experian, TransUnion and Equifax (51.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: financial services industry (92.0%).

Fair Isaac Corporation provides the FICO Score -- the standard measure of U.S. consumer credit risk distributed through Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax -- and analytics software for fraud detection, origination, and customer management in over 80 countries. Financial services... Read more

$985.41+46.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#33 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $910.46Target $1438.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$1598.42+62.2%20 analysts
$1438.58our TP
$985.41price
$1598.42mean
$2400

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $985.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Experian, TransUnion and Equifax (51.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: financial services industry (92.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Analyst upside: 47%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Experian, TransUnion and Equifax (51.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: financial services industry (92.0%)
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.1
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$24.2B
EV/EBITDA26.9
Profit Mgn31.9%
ROE
Rev Growth16.4%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.14bearish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$830-15.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerExperian, TransUnion and Equifax51%
    10-K Item 1: 'revenues generated from our agreements with Experian, TransUnion and Equifax collectively accounted for 51%... of our total revenues'
  • HIGHCustomerfinancial services industry92%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest market segment is financial services, representing 92% of our total revenue during fiscal 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicAmericas87%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest geographic market is the Americas, representing 87% of our total revenue during fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $870.01Resistance $1130.51

Price Targets

$910
$1439
A.Upside+46.0%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts28
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$1598

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FICO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $985.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Experian, TransUnion and Equifax (51.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: financial services industry (92.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1438.58 (+46.0%), stop $910.46 (−8.2%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FICO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1438.58 (+46.9% upside). Target $1438.58 (+46.0%), stop $910.46 (−8.2%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $910.46.

What are the risks of investing in FICO?

Concentration risk — Customer: Experian, TransUnion and Equifax (51.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: financial services industry (92.0%); Elevated risk factors.

Is FICO overvalued or undervalued?

Fair Isaac Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.1 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FICO?

28 analysts cover FICO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $1598.

What does Fair Isaac Corporation do?Fair Isaac Corporation provides the FICO Score -- the standard measure of U.S. consumer credit risk distributed through...

Fair Isaac Corporation provides the FICO Score -- the standard measure of U.S. consumer credit risk distributed through Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax -- and analytics software for fraud detection, origination, and customer management in over 80 countries. Financial services represents 92% of fiscal 2025 revenue; revenues from the three major consumer reporting agencies collectively totaled 51% of revenues.

Related stocks: ADEA (Adeia Inc.) · DAVE (Dave Inc.) · MNDY (monday.com Ltd.) · PTC (PTC Inc.) · INTU (Intuit Inc.)