Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Wait for pullback to $1053.63. At $1205.78 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $1053.63 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: banking industry (92.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (87.0%).
Fair Isaac Corporation develops the FICO® Score (the US standard credit risk measure) and decision management software through two segments: Scores (B2B via consumer reporting agencies, B2C via myFICO.com) and Software (analytics and decisioning tools). 92% of revenue comes from... Read more
Wait for pullback to $1053.63. At $1205.78 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $1053.63 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: banking industry (92.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (87.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.95, quality 9.0/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Fair Isaac Corporation
Latest news
- FICO Isn’t Worried About VantageScore. Are Investors? - Barron's — Barron's neutral
- FICO scores aren’t going away, analyst says. Buy Fair Isaac stock. - MSN — MSN positive
- Fair Isaac Corporation 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:FICO) 2026-04-28 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- Fair Isaac Slumps as Pulte Moves to Cut Credit Score Costs - Bloomberg.com — Bloomberg.com negative
- Fair Isaac Slumps as Pulte Moves to Cut Credit Score Costs - Bloomberg — Bloomberg negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerbanking industry92%10-K Item 1A: 'During fiscal 2025, 92% of our revenues were derived from sales of products and services to the banking industry'
- HIGHGeographicAmericas87%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest geographic market is the Americas, representing 87% of our total revenue during fiscal 2025'
- HIGHCustomerExperian, TransUnion and Equifax51%10-K Item 1: 'revenues generated from our agreements with Experian, TransUnion and Equifax collectively accounted for 51%, 45% and 41% of our total revenues'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $1053.63. At $1205.78 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $1053.63 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: banking industry (92.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (87.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.95, quality 9.0/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $1397.27 (+15.9%), stop $954.14 (−26.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $1397.27 (+21.0% upside). Target $1397.27 (+15.9%), stop $954.14 (−26.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $954.14.
Concentration risk — Customer: banking industry (92.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (87.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Fair Isaac Corporation trades at a P/E of 37.6 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
29 analysts cover FICO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $1553.
What does Fair Isaac Corporation do?Fair Isaac Corporation develops the FICO® Score (the US standard credit risk measure) and decision management software...
Fair Isaac Corporation develops the FICO® Score (the US standard credit risk measure) and decision management software through two segments: Scores (B2B via consumer reporting agencies, B2C via myFICO.com) and Software (analytics and decisioning tools). 92% of revenue comes from the banking industry; 87% from the Americas. Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax combined account for 51% of total revenues as score distributors.