Skip to main content

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (55.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Adeia is an IP licensing company with ~13,750 media and semiconductor patents, licensing innovations to entertainment, consumer electronics, and semiconductor industries globally. Revenue comes from fixed-fee and per-unit licensing; five customers represented 55.7% of aggregate... Read more

$31.28+9.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#3 of 96 Software - Application
Entry $28.20(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $26.42Target $30.87(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$33.00+5.5%4 analysts
$30.87our TP
$31.28price
$33.00mean
$28
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (55.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $31.32 has reached target $30.87. No upside to wait for. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (55.7%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.0
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn25.1%
ROE25.3%
Rev Growth53.3%
Beta0.84
Dividend0.65%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$20-36.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-5 customers56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'five customers represented 55.7% of aggregate revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Dr. Mark Kokes appointed Chief Revenue Officer effective January 26, 2026. Dana Escobar (Chief Licensing Officer & GM Semiconductor) to depart March 13, 2026 per organizational changes; severance per 2023 agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.16Resistance $31.50

Price Targets

$26
$28
$31
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ADEA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (55.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $31.32 has reached target $30.87. No upside to wait for. Target $30.87 (-1.3%), stop $26.42 (−18.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ADEA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.87 (+9.5% upside). Target $30.87 (-1.3%), stop $26.42 (−18.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $26.42.

What are the risks of investing in ADEA?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-5 customers (55.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.9% away).

Is ADEA overvalued or undervalued?

Adeia Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.0 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ADEA?

10 analysts cover ADEA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Adeia Inc. do?Adeia is an IP licensing company with ~13,750 media and semiconductor patents, licensing innovations to entertainment,...

Adeia is an IP licensing company with ~13,750 media and semiconductor patents, licensing innovations to entertainment, consumer electronics, and semiconductor industries globally. Revenue comes from fixed-fee and per-unit licensing; five customers represented 55.7% of aggregate revenue in 2025.

Related stocks: PTC (PTC Inc.) · DAVE (Dave Inc.) · PLUS (ePlus inc.) · SPSC (SPS Commerce, Inc.) · MNDY (monday.com Ltd.)