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CHYMChime Financial, Inc.Sell6.0·$33.06-1.75%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chime Financial offers 25% year-over-year revenue growth, a forward P/E of 15.3x with a PEG ratio of 0.12, and a free cash flow margin of 28% despite GAAP losses, but a confirmed technical downtrend — the moving average declining 8.3% over 30 days while the stock sits below it — and a debt-to-equity of 9.2 constrain near-term entry appeal despite an otherwise favorable risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationStable
  • Cash Generation Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Leverage And Downtrend HeadwindImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.06: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10.

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from... Read more

$33.06-6.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#36 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.42%
Stop $31.40Target $38.82(default +15%)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$35.05+6.0%21 analysts
$38.82our TP
$33.06price
$35.05mean
$22
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.06: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 21x vs trail 6x (3.3x)
Target reached (-6.6% upside)
Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.3
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA30.7
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-1.3%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards'
  • MEDIUMSupplierbank partners (Bancorp and Stride)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business ... We partner with The Bancorp Bank, N.A. ("Bancorp") ... and with Stride Bank, N.A. ("Stride")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Insiders leaning net-seller recently. Could be diversification/taxes rather than view, but the signal is not supportive.static

Materiality
2.0
Insider Conviction
2.0
Heavy insider selling — $470,813,018 (3.684% of mkt cap)
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 3.68%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.14Resistance $34.44

Price Targets

$31
$39
A.Upside-6.6%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 21x vs trail 6x (3.3x)
! Target reached (-6.6% upside)
! Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.06: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.40. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.82 (-6.6% upside). Prior stop was $31.40. Stop-loss: $31.40.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 21x vs trail 6x (3.3x); Target reached (-6.6% upside); Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5).

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.3 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

28 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting...

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from interchange fees on Visa-branded debit and credit cards, with banking services delivered through partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A.

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