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Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: bank partners; Concentration risk — Product: interchange-based fees.

Chime is a fintech delivering no-fee consumer banking to 9.5 million active members via FDIC-insured accounts provided by bank partners Bancorp Bank and Stride Bank. Revenue derives primarily from interchange fees when members transact with Chime-branded debit or credit cards.

$21.61+27.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#32 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $20.13Target $27.60(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$30.67+41.9%18 analysts
$27.60our TP
$21.61price
$30.67mean
$40

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: bank partners; Concentration risk — Product: interchange-based fees. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 28%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: bank partners
Concentration risk — Product: interchange-based fees
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)18.6
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA-12.2
Profit Mgn-46.2%
ROE-85.5%
Rev Growth25.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV92%elevated
Max Pain$10-53.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierbank partners
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business, and we may be unable to maintain our relationship with either of our bank partners'
  • HIGHProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Ma Position
3.5
Rsi
3.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.6
Bollinger
5.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Value Rank
5.1
Growth Rank
7.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
Earnings in 6 days
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.93Resistance $24.75

Price Targets

$20
$28
A.Upside+27.7%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: bank partners; Concentration risk — Product: interchange-based fees. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $20.13. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.60 (+27.5% upside). Prior stop was $20.13. Stop-loss: $20.13.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Concentration risk — Supplier: bank partners; Concentration risk — Product: interchange-based fees; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.6): -1.5.

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

22 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime is a fintech delivering no-fee consumer banking to 9.5 million active members via FDIC-insured accounts provided...

Chime is a fintech delivering no-fee consumer banking to 9.5 million active members via FDIC-insured accounts provided by bank partners Bancorp Bank and Stride Bank. Revenue derives primarily from interchange fees when members transact with Chime-branded debit or credit cards.

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