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CHYMChime Financial, Inc.Hold6.3·$31.90-0.87%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chime Financial offers 25% year-over-year revenue growth, a forward P/E of 15.3x with a PEG ratio of 0.12, and a free cash flow margin of 28% despite GAAP losses, but a confirmed technical downtrend — the moving average declining 8.3% over 30 days while the stock sits below it — and a debt-to-equity of 9.2 constrain near-term entry appeal despite an otherwise favorable risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationDeteriorating
  • Cash Generation Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Leverage And Downtrend HeadwindImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from... Read more

$31.90-4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#24 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.61%
Stop $29.78Target $32.74(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$33.90+6.3%20 analysts
$32.74our TP
$31.90price
$33.90mean
$22
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 60%
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.0
P/E (Fwd)19.9
Mkt Cap$12.1B
EV/EBITDA29.0
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-1.3%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards'
  • MEDIUMSupplierbank partners (Bancorp and Stride)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business ... We partner with The Bancorp Bank, N.A. ("Bancorp") ... and with Stride Bank, N.A. ("Stride")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
6.6
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.23Resistance $33.41

Price Targets

$30
$33
A.Upside-4.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 20x vs trail 6x (3.3x)
! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $32.74 (+2.6%), stop $29.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.74 (-4.7% upside). Target $32.74 (+2.6%), stop $29.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $29.78.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.0 (forward 19.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

28 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting...

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from interchange fees on Visa-branded debit and credit cards, with banking services delivered through partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A.

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