Yalla Group Limited (YALA) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the YALA stock price target?

Take-profit $7.31 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $5.93.

Q: What are the risks of investing in YALA?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth; Negative momentum; Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA.

Q: Is YALA overvalued or undervalued?

Yalla Group Limited trades at a P/E of 8.2 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about YALA?

8 analysts cover YALA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 15 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 1:41 AM ET)

Technology · Software - Application

$6.32+15.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#49 of 98 Software - Application

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.58%

Stop $5.93Target $7.31(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.3:1

Analyst target$8.60+36.1%3 analysts

$7.31our TP

$6.32price

$8.60mean

$10

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Yalla Group Limited

Latest news

Yalla Group authorizes new $150 million share repurchase program - MSN — MSN positive
Yalla Group Balances Earnings Strength With Cautious Outlook - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Yalla Group Ltd stock (KYG983391094): Live voice chat platform reports steady user engagement - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS positive
No fertilizer shortage for Yala Season - Minister Lal Kantha - Ada Derana — Ada Derana positive
Yalla Expects Return To Double-Digit Revenue Growth Next Year As New Gaming Initiative Gains Momentum — benzinga May 20, 2026

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Margin of safety: 46%

Risks

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Weak growth

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.2

P/E (Fwd)6.8

Mkt Cap$1.0B

EV/EBITDA2.2

Profit Mgn43.8%

ROE19.8%

Rev Growth-7.7%

Beta0.52

DividendNone

Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral

IV97%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.315%1.25

Quality6.815%1.02

Growth1.915%0.28

Momentum3.510%0.35

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank6.510%0.65

Technical Setup7.25%0.36

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)5.72

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -7.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.6

Earnings Growth

3.1

Declining revenue: -8%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Macd

3.0

Rsi

4.5

Volume

8.1

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

40 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.11Resistance $7.09

Price Targets

A.Upside+15.7%

A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-18 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is YALA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $5.93. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YALA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.31 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $5.93. Stop-loss: $5.93.

What are the risks of investing in YALA?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is YALA overvalued or undervalued?

Yalla Group Limited trades at a P/E of 8.2 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about YALA?

8 analysts cover YALA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Yalla Group Limited do?Yalla Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social networking and gaming platform in the Middle...

Yalla Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social networking and gaming platform in the Middle East and North Africa region. It offers mobile applications, including Yalla, a voice-centric group chat platform; and Yalla Ludo, a casual gaming application. The company's platform provides group chatting and games services; and consume virtual currencies to purchase virtual items, as well as provides upgrade services. It has operations in United Arab Emirates, Mainland China, Hongkong, Cayman Islands, Saudia Arabia, and Singapore countries. The company was formerly known as FYXTech Corporation. Yalla Group Limited was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.