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Klaviyo, Inc. Series A (KVYO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Shopify platform customers (77.9%); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Klaviyo is a B2C CRM platform serving 193,000+ businesses with data-driven marketing automation across email, SMS, and other channels. Revenue ($1.234B in 2025, +31.6%) is primarily subscription-based, priced by consumer profile tiers, with heavy concentration in the... Read more

$19.76+47.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#18 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $18.37Target $29.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$32.45+64.2%22 analysts
$29.21our TP
$19.76price
$32.45mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Shopify platform customers (77.9%); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Shopify platform customers (77.9%)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA-94.0
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE-2.8%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta0.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV113%elevated
Max Pain$10-49.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerShopify platform customers78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 77.9% of our ARR was derived from customers who also use Shopify Inc.'s (and together with certain of its affiliates, "Shopify") platform'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.5
Bollinger
3.0
Support Resistance
3.4
Gap
6.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
8.4
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.17Resistance $21.56

Price Targets

$18
$29
A.Upside+47.8%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KVYO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Shopify platform customers (77.9%); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $29.21 (+47.8%), stop $18.37 (−7.6%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KVYO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.21 (+47.9% upside). Target $29.21 (+47.8%), stop $18.37 (−7.6%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $18.37.

What are the risks of investing in KVYO?

Concentration risk — Customer: Shopify platform customers (77.9%); Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is KVYO overvalued or undervalued?

Klaviyo, Inc. Series A trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KVYO?

29 analysts cover KVYO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Klaviyo, Inc. Series A do?Klaviyo is a B2C CRM platform serving 193,000+ businesses with data-driven marketing automation across email, SMS, and...

Klaviyo is a B2C CRM platform serving 193,000+ businesses with data-driven marketing automation across email, SMS, and other channels. Revenue ($1.234B in 2025, +31.6%) is primarily subscription-based, priced by consumer profile tiers, with heavy concentration in the eCommerce/retail vertical.

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