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KVYOKlaviyo, Inc. Series AHold6.4·$13.84-1.14%
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Klaviyo, Inc. Series A (KVYO) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Shopify (77.9%); Negative momentum.

Klaviyo provides a B2C customer relationship management platform enabling consumer companies to manage marketing, service, and analytics using unified consumer data, serving over 193,000 businesses globally. The company generated $1,234.0 million in revenue in 2025 (31.6%... Read more

$13.84+90.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#10 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.76%
Stop $13.30Target $26.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 6.0:1
Analyst target$29.23+111.2%22 analysts
$26.30our TP
$13.84price
$29.23mean
$37

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Shopify (77.9%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Klaviyo, Inc. Series A

About Klaviyo, Inc. Series A

Klaviyo generated $1,234.0 million in revenue in 2025, up 31.6% year-over-year from $937.5 million in 2024, serving more than 193,000 businesses globally on its B2C CRM platform at December 31, 2025. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 74.7% in 2025 while reducing net losses to $31.8 million from $46.1 million in 2024. Klaviyo employed 2,368 people at year-end 2025 across offices in the United States, United Kingdom, Australia, Ireland, Singapore, and France.

Klaviyo sells monthly subscription plans to consumer brands, priced on the number of active consumer profiles stored and the volume of emails, text messages, and WhatsApp messages sent; it does not price on seats. The company began in SMB eCommerce and has expanded into mid-market and enterprise customers, with international accounts growing from approximately 92,000 to 108,000 during 2025. Competition comes primarily from Adobe, Salesforce, Mailchimp, and Braze. Customer acquisition is primarily inbound through word-of-mouth, agency partnerships, and platform integrations. As of December 31, 2025, approximately 77.9% of ARR came from customers who also use Shopify's platform, and the Shopify partnership agreement expires in 2029. Revenue expands naturally as customers grow their consumer base, add messaging channels, or adopt additional offerings such as Customer Agent, Marketing Agent, and Advanced KDP.

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The Shopify platform dependency is the most quantified concentration risk in the filing: 77.9% of Klaviyo's ARR at December 31, 2025 derived from Shopify merchants, yet only 7.4% of new ARR in 2025 came through the Shopify app store directly — meaning the dependency extends beyond distribution to data integration itself. The current Shopify agreement expires in 2029; if Shopify refuses to renew or degrades interoperability, the utility of Klaviyo's platform and demand for its products could decline materially. Shopify could also embed competing marketing or analytics capabilities into its platform, reducing customer reliance on Klaviyo.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Klaviyo, Inc. Series A's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Shopify (77.9%)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA-113.8
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth27.9%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.76neutral
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$33+134.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyShopify78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 77.9% of our ARR was derived from customers who also use Shopify ... platform'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Amanda Whalen informed the Company of her intent to step down effective August 21, 2026, then serve as consultant through November 16, 2026. Formal CFO search initiated. Departure not related to any disagreement. No permanent successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.4
Macd
2.6
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 6.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.71Resistance $18.55

Price Targets

$13
$26
A.Upside+90.0%
A.R:R6.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KVYO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Shopify (77.9%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $26.30 (+90.0%), stop $13.30 (−4.1%), A.R:R 6.0:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KVYO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.30 (+90.0% upside). Target $26.30 (+90.0%), stop $13.30 (−4.1%), A.R:R 6.0:1. Stop-loss: $13.30.

What are the risks of investing in KVYO?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Shopify (77.9%); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is KVYO overvalued or undervalued?

Klaviyo, Inc. Series A trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KVYO?

30 analysts cover KVYO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Klaviyo, Inc. Series A do?Klaviyo provides a B2C customer relationship management platform enabling consumer companies to manage marketing,...

Klaviyo provides a B2C customer relationship management platform enabling consumer companies to manage marketing, service, and analytics using unified consumer data, serving over 193,000 businesses globally. The company generated $1,234.0 million in revenue in 2025 (31.6% growth), with subscription pricing based on active consumer profiles and message volume.

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