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Pattern Group Inc. - Series A (PTRN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.73: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.46; Below-average business quality.

Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that buys products from 200+ consumer brand partners and resells them on Amazon and 70+ global marketplaces across 100+ countries, using AI/ML across 66 trillion data points. Revenue is primarily generated from direct consumer... Read more

$12.73+44.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#13 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $11.86Target $18.37(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$21.11+65.8%9 analysts
$18.37our TP
$12.73price
$21.11mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.73: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.46; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%)
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.2
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA51.1
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth40.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.46bearish
IV116%elevated
Max Pain$8-41.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerAmazon93%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 93% of our revenue from consumer product sales on Amazon'
  • HIGHProducthealth and wellness category69%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the health and wellness category accounted for 69% of our inventory purchases'
  • MEDIUMCustomertwo brand partners17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two brand partners in the health and wellness category accounted for 17% and 17% of our inventory purchases'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02LOW
    Daniel Gay resigned as director effective March 16, 2026, for personal reasons; not the result of any disagreement with the company. Board reduced from 7 to 6 directors; John Bailey appointed to Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Volatility
0.8
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
3.6
Days To Cover
6.0
Short Interest
7.1
High IV: 116%Above max pain $8Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $11.47Resistance $14.18

Price Targets

$12
$18
A.Upside+44.3%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTRN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.73: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.46; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.86. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.37 (+44.1% upside). Prior stop was $11.86. Stop-loss: $11.86.

What are the risks of investing in PTRN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%); Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is PTRN overvalued or undervalued?

Pattern Group Inc. - Series A trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PTRN?

16 analysts cover PTRN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Pattern Group Inc. - Series A do?Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that buys products from 200+ consumer brand partners and resells...

Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that buys products from 200+ consumer brand partners and resells them on Amazon and 70+ global marketplaces across 100+ countries, using AI/ML across 66 trillion data points. Revenue is primarily generated from direct consumer product sales, with 93% from Amazon in fiscal year 2025.

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