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Pattern Group Inc. - Series A (PTRN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.88; Below-average business quality.

Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that purchases inventory from 200+ brand partners and resells on 70+ global marketplaces, deriving 93% of 2025 revenue from Amazon. The health and wellness category represents 69% of inventory purchases; two brand partners in... Read more

$17.05+11.4% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#7 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.58%
Stop $16.07Target $19.24(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$22.11+29.7%9 analysts
$19.24our TP
$17.05price
$22.11mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.88; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Pattern Group Inc. - Series A

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%)
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA52.0
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE4.5%
Rev Growth43.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.88bearish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$35+105.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerAmazon93%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 93% of our revenue from consumer product sales on Amazon'
  • HIGHProducthealth and wellness category69%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the health and wellness category accounted for 69% of our inventory purchases'
  • HIGHSuppliertwo brand partners in health and wellness
    10-K Item 1A: 'two brand partners in the health and wellness category accounted for 17% and 17% of our inventory purchases and contributed significantly to our growth in recent periods'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02LOW
    Daniel Gay resigned from the Board of Directors effective March 16, 2026, for personal reasons; not the result of any disagreement. Board reduced from 7 to 6 directors; John Bailey appointed to the Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Days To Cover
6.2
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Short Interest
7.4
Elevated put/call: 5.88High IV: 84%Concentration risks: 3 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
7.2
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $12.71Resistance $18.15

Price Targets

$16
$19
A.Upside+12.8%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTRN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.88; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.07. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PTRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.24 (+11.4% upside). Prior stop was $16.07. Stop-loss: $16.07.

What are the risks of investing in PTRN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon (93.0%); Concentration risk — Product: health and wellness category (69.0%); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is PTRN overvalued or undervalued?

Pattern Group Inc. - Series A trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PTRN?

16 analysts cover PTRN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Pattern Group Inc. - Series A do?Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that purchases inventory from 200+ brand partners and resells on...

Pattern Group is an ecommerce acceleration platform that purchases inventory from 200+ brand partners and resells on 70+ global marketplaces, deriving 93% of 2025 revenue from Amazon. The health and wellness category represents 69% of inventory purchases; two brand partners in that category each account for 17% of total inventory purchases.

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