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HKDAMTD Digital Inc.Buy Wait6.8·$1.64-1.80%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AMTD Digital screens as a high-quality, cheaply valued business with elite combined growth and profitability, but a momentum gate failure and a sector concentration cap currently block a full buy signal even as sizing conviction stays high.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Quality Profitability ProfileStable
  • Sector Concentration Cap BlockImproving
  • Attractive Peg ValuationStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $1.63. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1.64. Engine's entry $1.63 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. The company offers cross-market... Read more

$1.64+9.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#5 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-36.74%
Entry $1.63(50-day MA)Stop $1.53Target $1.78(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Wait for pullback to $1.63. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1.64. Engine's entry $1.63 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Value play: 38% MoS with quality 7.7. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03

Recent Developments — AMTD Digital Inc.

Generated 2026-09-03T14:22:18Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 2, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.3
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$528M
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn40.2%
ROE25.4%
Rev Growth340.9%
Beta1.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
1.1
Obv
1.7
Macd
3.9
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
5.8
Bollinger
5.9
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1.58Resistance $1.82

Price Targets

$2
$2
$2
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: Technology sector blocked for BUY_NOW (quality 7.68 < 8.5)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-02 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HKD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $1.63. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $1.64. Engine's entry $1.63 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Value play: 38% MoS with quality 7.7. Target $1.78 (+8.5%), stop $1.53 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HKD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.78 (+9.2% upside). Target $1.78 (+8.5%), stop $1.53 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $1.53.

What are the risks of investing in HKD?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is HKD overvalued or undervalued?

AMTD Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

0
What does AMTD Digital Inc. do?AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel...

AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. The company offers cross-market and intelligent digital solutions services for retail and corporate clients; and insurance brokerage services. It also provides fashion, arts, and luxury media advertising and marketing services; print and digital advertising campaigns and marketing services; and sells printed and digital publications, as well as operates in the movie production sector. In addition, the company offers customer-centric VIP services, such as hotels and serviced apartments, food and beverages, and club membership services. Further, it holds whole building properties. Digital Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

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