AMTD Digital scores as a high-quality, deeply undervalued software business with wide margins and a Rule of 40 reading of 198, but cash conversion is a red flag, the stock is down about 69% from its high and the data set lacks earnings history.
Thesis pillars
- High Quality Compounder Profile↓Deteriorating
- Deep Value With Margin Of Safety↓Deteriorating
- Cash Conversion Red Flag↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026
AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.
AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. The company offers cross-market... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-11-02Recent Developments — AMTD Digital Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS HKD|AMTD Digital Inc|Price:1.562| - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS HKD|AMTD Digital Inc|Price:1.610|Chg%:+0.010 - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS HKD|AMTD Digital Inc|Price:1.562| - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS AMTD Digital Inc (HKD) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS AMTD Digital Inc (HKD) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
Generated 2026-11-02T12:03:20Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Revenue shrinking — -12.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1.56. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Resistance target: $1.74 (+4.8% upside). Prior stop was $1.56. Stop-loss: $1.56.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.
AMTD Digital Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
What does AMTD Digital Inc. do?AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel...
AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. The company offers cross-market and intelligent digital solutions services for retail and corporate clients; and insurance brokerage services. It also provides fashion, arts, and luxury media advertising and marketing services; print and digital advertising campaigns and marketing services; and sells printed and digital publications, as well as operates in the movie production sector. In addition, the company offers customer-centric VIP services, such as hotels and serviced apartments, food and beverages, and club membership services. Further, it holds whole building properties. Digital Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Paris, France.