Value
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 5.0 |
| P/S | 7.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 15.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.23
- ▸Attractively valued
GRND · Why this verdict
Why Grindr (GRND) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 9.9 |
| Current ratio | 4.9 |
| FCF quality | 9.2 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 59%
- ▸Strong margins: 20%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 127% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 38% YoY
Momentum
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 1.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.5 |
| Price target | 9.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 46%
Insider
6.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 6.9 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.6 |
| quality rank | 8.4 |
| growth rank | 9.0 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.2 |
| support resistance | 4.1 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.4 |
| days to cover | 5.6 |
| volatility | 0.1 |
| put call | 4.3 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Short squeeze setup: 16% short, quality 7.5
- ▸High IV: 125%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.2 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.23, quality 8.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (9)
- MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.8>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- DEATH_CROSS:QUALITY_MOMENTUM_EXEMPT
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- DEATH_CROSS:quality=8.9>=7.5+momentum=5.3>=5.0 exempted
Reward-to-Risk
1.82
Upside
+27.3%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.9 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 1.82 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 8.9, and Value at 7.3; the weakest are Technical at 3.3, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.3, and Catalyst at 4.6. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.82 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.