Ball Corporation (BALL) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.11: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Ball Corporation manufactures aluminum packaging for beverage, personal care, and household products across three segments: Beverage Packaging North and Central America (48% of 2025 net sales of $13.16B), EMEA (30%), and South America (16%). It sells under long-term contracts to... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.11: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Ball Corporation
Latest news
- ESPN is buying even more Georgia stock after spring ball - Dawn of the Dawg — Dawn of the Dawg neutral
- I'm Playing Small Ball (and Hanging With Disney) Until Coast Is Clear - TheStreet Pro — TheStreet Pro negative
- BALL Maintained by Truist Securities -- Price Target Raised to $77 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Ball (BALL) to Release Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Rules Guy: My ball hit a lawnmower and bounced OB. Is that a penalty? - GOLF.com — GOLF.com negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicoutside of the U.S.53%10-K Item 1A: 'We derived approximately 53 percent of our consolidated net sales from outside of the U.S. for the year ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.11: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $52.94. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $61.58 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $52.94. Stop-loss: $52.94.
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside of the U.S. (53.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).
Ball Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover BALL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $71.
What does Ball Corporation do?Ball Corporation manufactures aluminum packaging for beverage, personal care, and household products across three...
Ball Corporation manufactures aluminum packaging for beverage, personal care, and household products across three segments: Beverage Packaging North and Central America (48% of 2025 net sales of $13.16B), EMEA (30%), and South America (16%). It sells under long-term contracts to large multinational beverage companies and is the largest regional producer in each market it operates. Approximately 53% of consolidated net sales were derived from outside the U.S. in 2025.