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Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $95.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Crown Holdings is a global diversified packaging manufacturer with $12.4B in 2025 consolidated net sales and 179 plants in 39 countries. Four segments: Americas Beverage ($5.6B), European Beverage ($2.3B), Asia Pacific ($1.1B), and Transit Packaging ($2.0B). Approximately 73% of... Read more

$95.24+14.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.06%
IncomeYield1.27%(5y avg 0.98%)Payout17.97%sustainable
Stop $92.08Target $108.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$125.00+31.2%13 analysts
$108.75our TP
$95.24price
$125.00mean
$142

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $95.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Crown Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.94)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$10.9B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta0.65
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C56.78bearish
IV36%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $94.93Resistance $104.14

Price Targets

$92
$109
A.Upside+14.2%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $95.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $108.75 (+14.2%), stop $92.08 (−3.4%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.75 (+14.2% upside). Target $108.75 (+14.2%), stop $92.08 (−3.4%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $92.08.

What are the risks of investing in CCK?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.

Is CCK overvalued or undervalued?

Crown Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CCK?

20 analysts cover CCK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $125.

What does Crown Holdings, Inc. do?Crown Holdings is a global diversified packaging manufacturer with $12.4B in 2025 consolidated net sales and 179 plants...

Crown Holdings is a global diversified packaging manufacturer with $12.4B in 2025 consolidated net sales and 179 plants in 39 countries. Four segments: Americas Beverage ($5.6B), European Beverage ($2.3B), Asia Pacific ($1.1B), and Transit Packaging ($2.0B). Approximately 73% of net sales come from the global beverage can business; 61% of net sales are from international operations.

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