Crown Holdings is a cheaply valued packaging business with strong returns on equity, but the stock has already reached the analyst target and is overbought, leaving little room for upside against a concentrated beverage-can and international footprint.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Multiples↓Deteriorating
- High Return On Equity→Stable
- Beverage Can Concentration Risk→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026
Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. At $124.43, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%).
Crown Holdings manufactures metal cans and ends for beverages, food, and aerosol markets plus transit packaging products, operating 179 plants in 39 countries with approximately 23,000 employees. The company generated $12.4 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025, with... Read more
Sell if holding. At $124.43, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Crown Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS JPMorgan Downgrades Crown Holdings to Neutral — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS JP Morgan Downgrades Crown Holdings to Neutral, Maintains Price Target to $121 — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS Crown Holdings (CCK) Stock Still Looks Undervalued Despite Its 55% Run - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 20, 2026 positive
- NEWS UBS cuts target to USD 116.00 for Crown Holdings stock - ad-hoc-news.de — ad-hoc-news.de Oct 15, 2026 negative
- NEWS Crown Holdings (CCK) Gets a Buy from RBC Capital - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail Oct 15, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:07Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductglobal beverage can business73%10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 73% of the Company's consolidated net sales were derived from the Company's global beverage can business.'
- HIGHGeographicinternational operations61%10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's international operations generated approximately 61% of its consolidated net sales in the year ended 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten global customers48%10-K Item 1: 'The Company's top ten global customers represented in the aggregate approximately 48% of its 2025 consolidated net sales.'
- LOWCustomerone customer (12% of net sales)12%10-K Item 1: 'one customer accounted for approximately 12%, 12%, and 11%, respectively, of the Company's consolidated net sales'
- LOWCustomeranother customer (11% of net sales)11%10-K Item 1: 'another customer accounted for approximately 11%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, of the Company's consolidated net sales'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOWCrown Holdings announced the promotion of Dr. John M. Rost (age 56), current President of the Asia Pacific Division, to Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer — Asia Pacific and Transit Packaging, effective April 1, 2026. No reason cited; internal promotion with clean succession.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $124.43, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $117.95. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $118.45 reached (−4.8% from $124.43); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $117.95. Stop-loss: $117.95.
Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Crown Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts rate CCK, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $136.
What does Crown Holdings, Inc. do?Crown Holdings manufactures metal cans and ends for beverages, food, and aerosol markets plus transit packaging...
Crown Holdings manufactures metal cans and ends for beverages, food, and aerosol markets plus transit packaging products, operating 179 plants in 39 countries with approximately 23,000 employees. The company generated $12.4 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025, with approximately 73% derived from its global beverage can business and 61% from international operations.