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Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $98.54 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth.

Crown Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the packaging business in the United States and internationally. It operates through Americas Beverage, European Beverage, Asia Pacific, and Transit Packaging segments. The company manufactures and sells recyclable... Read more

$98.54+10.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#6 of 16 Packaging & Containers
Stop $94.58Target $108.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$125.00+26.9%13 analysts
$108.75our TP
$98.54price
$125.00mean
$142

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $98.54 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta0.75
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.64bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$80-18.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.9
Revenue Growth
5.7
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $97.50Resistance $109.00

Price Targets

$95
$109
A.Upside+10.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $98.54 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $94.58. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.75 (+10.3% upside). Prior stop was $94.58. Stop-loss: $94.58.

What are the risks of investing in CCK?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is CCK overvalued or undervalued?

Crown Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCK?

19 analysts cover CCK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $125.

What does Crown Holdings, Inc. do?Crown Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the packaging business in the United States and...

Crown Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the packaging business in the United States and internationally. It operates through Americas Beverage, European Beverage, Asia Pacific, and Transit Packaging segments. The company manufactures and sells recyclable aluminum beverage cans and ends, glass bottles, steel crowns, aluminum caps, non-beverage cans, food and aerosol cans, and ends and closures. It provides manual, semi-automatic, and automatic equipment and tools to apply and remove consumables, such as straps and films; protective solutions, including airbags, edge protectors, and honeycomb products; and steel and plastic consumables include steel strap, plastic strap, industrial film, and other related products. It serves food industries, including pet food, personal care, household, and industrial products. Crown Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

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