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SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.Hold6.0·$42.66
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Silgan Holdings trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times with a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.19 and analysts see 31% upside, but a confirmed price downtrend, mixed earnings history, and an officer departure signal create near-term uncertainty despite the attractive valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward Pe 10x↓Deteriorating
  • Leadership Change Signal↑Improving
  • Mixed Earnings Beat Miss↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in... Read more

$42.66+4.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 18 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.99%
IncomeYield1.97%(5y avg 1.52%)Payout32.16%sustainable
Stop $39.67Analyst target $44.77(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$51.45+20.6%11 analysts with price targets
$44.77Analyst target
$42.66price
$51.45mean
$38
$61

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Silgan Holdings Inc.

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202789d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.80)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.9%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta0.64
Dividend1.97%
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.83bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$23-47.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductmetal containers48%
    10-K Item 1: 'our metal containers business had net sales of $3.1 billion (approximately 48.4 percent of our consolidated net sales)'
  • MEDIUMProductdispensing and specialty closures42%
    10-K Item 1: 'our dispensing and specialty closures business had net sales of $2.7 billion (approximately 41.8 percent of our consolidated net sales)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02LOW
    On May 26, 2026, stockholders approved First Amendment to Silgan Holdings Inc.'s Second Amended and Restated 2004 Stock Incentive Plan: adds 4,000,000 shares, raises per-participant RSU cap to 1,200,000 per 36-month period, and extends plan term to June 30, 2031.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
0.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.5
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.60Resistance $43.12

Price Targets

$40
$45
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLGN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $44.77 (+4.9%), stop $39.67 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the SLGN stock price target?

Analyst target: $44.77 (+4.9% upside). Analyst target $44.77 (+4.9%), stop $39.67 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $39.67.

What are the risks of investing in SLGN?

Thin upside margin: 4.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?

Silgan Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SLGN?

19 analysts rate SLGN, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $51.

What does Silgan Holdings Inc. do?Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and...

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025. The company holds more than half of the US metal food container market by unit volume, with approximately 90% of metal container volumes covered under multi-year supply agreements.

Related stocks: AMCR (Amcor plc) · MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · GEF-B (Greif, Inc. Corporation) · REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.)
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