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SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.Sell5.8·$41.66+2.26%
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Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. At $41.66, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in... Read more

$41.66+11.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.43%
IncomeYield2.06%(5y avg 1.51%)Payout30.34%sustainable
Stop $39.46Target $46.26(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$53.17+27.6%12 analysts
$46.26our TP
$41.66price
$53.17mean
$61

Sell if holding. At $41.66, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.71
Dividend2.06%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV47%normal
Max Pain$40-4.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductmetal containers48%
    10-K Item 1: 'our metal containers business had net sales of $3.1 billion (approximately 48.4 percent of our consolidated net sales)'
  • MEDIUMProductdispensing and specialty closures42%
    10-K Item 1: 'our dispensing and specialty closures business had net sales of $2.7 billion (approximately 41.8 percent of our consolidated net sales)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02LOW
    On May 26, 2026, stockholders approved First Amendment to Silgan Holdings Inc.'s Second Amended and Restated 2004 Stock Incentive Plan: adds 4,000,000 shares, raises per-participant RSU cap to 1,200,000 per 36-month period, and extends plan term to June 30, 2031.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
4.9
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.68Resistance $42.17

Price Targets

$39
$46
A.Upside+11.0%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $41.66, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $39.46. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.26 (+11.0% upside). Prior stop was $39.46. Stop-loss: $39.46.

What are the risks of investing in SLGN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?

Silgan Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLGN?

20 analysts cover SLGN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Silgan Holdings Inc. do?Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and...

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025. The company holds more than half of the US metal food container market by unit volume, with approximately 90% of metal container volumes covered under multi-year supply agreements.

Related stocks: CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) · REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · GEF-B (Greif, Inc. Corporation) · BALL (Ball Corporation)
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