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Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Silgan Holdings manufactures rigid consumer goods packaging across three businesses: dispensing and specialty closures (41.8% of $6.5B net sales), metal containers (48.4%), and custom containers (9.8%), operating 121 plants globally. Revenue comes from multi-year supply... Read more

$37.09+24.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.06%
IncomeYield2.26%(5y avg 1.49%)Payout30.34%sustainable
Stop $35.42Target $46.26(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$53.17+43.3%12 analysts
$46.26our TP
$37.09price
$53.17mean
$61

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Silgan Holdings Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.74
Dividend2.26%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV40%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.9
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $36.52Resistance $42.11

Price Targets

$35
$46
A.Upside+24.7%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $37.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $35.42. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the SLGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.26 (+24.7% upside). Prior stop was $35.42. Stop-loss: $35.42.

What are the risks of investing in SLGN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?

Silgan Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLGN?

20 analysts cover SLGN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Silgan Holdings Inc. do?Silgan Holdings manufactures rigid consumer goods packaging across three businesses: dispensing and specialty closures...

Silgan Holdings manufactures rigid consumer goods packaging across three businesses: dispensing and specialty closures (41.8% of $6.5B net sales), metal containers (48.4%), and custom containers (9.8%), operating 121 plants globally. Revenue comes from multi-year supply contracts with leading consumer goods companies; ~90% of metal container sales under multi-year arrangements.

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