Amcor plc (AMCR) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.05: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Amcor is a global packaging company producing flexible packaging (72% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and rigid packaging (28%) for nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness categories across 70 countries, following its April 2025 merger with Berry Global. Revenue comes from long-term... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.05: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.05: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $36.10. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $43.69 (+15.3% upside). Prior stop was $36.10. Stop-loss: $36.10.
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).
Amcor plc trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover AMCR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $50.
What does Amcor plc do?Amcor is a global packaging company producing flexible packaging (72% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and rigid packaging...
Amcor is a global packaging company producing flexible packaging (72% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and rigid packaging (28%) for nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness categories across 70 countries, following its April 2025 merger with Berry Global. Revenue comes from long-term supply agreements with major consumer goods companies worldwide.