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YOUClear Secure, Inc.Buy Wait6.1·$53.79-3.36%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Clear Secure is a high-growth, high-quality biometric identity platform with 110% ROE, a Rule of 40 score of 56, a perfect 4-of-4 earnings beat record, and a PEG ratio of 0.41, though extreme near-term oversold conditions at RSI 22 and 13% short interest create a technical overhang that has pushed the stock to an oversold-bounce setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Subscription Concentration RiskStable
  • Exceptional Quality CompoundingStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $47.16. At $53.79 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $47.16 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+ subscription revenue; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Clear Secure operates a biometric identity verification platform in U.S. airports and partner locations, with 38 million Total CLEAR Members and 166 CLEAR+ Lanes across 60 airports as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes substantially from CLEAR+, a $209/year consumer aviation... Read more

$53.79+14.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#28 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.75%
IncomeYield1.12%Payout42.00%sustainable
Entry $47.16(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $42.53Target $54.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$62.60+16.4%5 analysts
$54.46our TP
$53.79price
$62.60mean
$40
$75

Wait for pullback to $47.16. At $53.79 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $47.16 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+ subscription revenue; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (1.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Clear Secure, Inc.

About Clear Secure, Inc.

Clear Secure's biometric identity platform counted 38 million Total CLEAR Members as of December 31, 2025 — a 31% year-over-year increase — with CLEAR+ Lanes operating at 166 locations across 60 airports nationwide. TSA PreCheck Enrollment Provided by CLEAR expanded to 61 airports and 340 retail locations in 2025, and 6% of all TSA checkpoint volume passed through a CLEAR lane that year. CLEAR+ retails for $209 per year per Member.

Clear Secure earns substantially all revenue from CLEAR+, billed upfront at $209 per year, with a family plan at an additional $125 per Member annually. Distribution partners include Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Alaska Airlines, and Hawaiian Airlines, which offer discounted access to their frequent fliers, and American Express, which provides statement credits to eligible cardholders; American Express renewed its multi-year agreement with Clear Secure in February 2026. Secondary revenue comes from TSA PreCheck enrollment and renewal fees, CLEAR Concierge premium services (live at 27 airports), and CLEAR1 B2B contracts structured as multi-year agreements with per-transaction or per-user fees plus annual platform fees. In-airport enrollment represented 66% of CLEAR+ Member acquisitions in 2025. Competitors include two other TSA-authorized private entities for PreCheck enrollment, and the 10-K names large technology platforms — Alphabet/Google, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft — as potential entrants into competing identity verification solutions.

Show full overview

Clear Secure's airport operations depend on concessionaire agreements and compliance with TSA standards. The TSA has publicly stated its intent to require all travelers to be processed through CAT (credential authentication technology) machines and has been expanding its own biometric program while conducting proof-of-concept demonstrations at checkpoints — both explicitly named in the 10-K as potential threats to CLEAR's current operating model. The company holds FISMA High and SAFETY Act certifications, but the 10-K warns that any standard adopted by TSA that is 'not compatible' with CLEAR's platform could adversely affect the company's ability to operate in its current form.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Clear Secure, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+ subscription revenue
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.0
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA20.4
Profit Mgn13.0%
ROE109.5%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta1.06
Dividend1.12%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C3.69bearish
IV125%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductCLEAR+ subscription revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have derived substantially all of our historical revenue from CLEAR+, our consumer aviation subscription service'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Lynn Haaland, General Counsel, agreed to depart Clear Secure on April 3, 2026. No successor named. Company providing 12 additional months of salary in consideration for services.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.39%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.50Resistance $57.50

Price Targets

$43
$47
$54
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YOU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $47.16. At $53.79 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $47.16 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+ subscription revenue; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (1.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $54.46 (+1.2%), stop $42.53 (−26.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YOU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.46 (+14.6% upside). Target $54.46 (+1.2%), stop $42.53 (−26.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $42.53.

What are the risks of investing in YOU?

Concentration risk — Product: CLEAR+ subscription revenue; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Is YOU overvalued or undervalued?

Clear Secure, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.0 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about YOU?

12 analysts cover YOU with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Clear Secure, Inc. do?Clear Secure operates a biometric identity verification platform in U.S. airports and partner locations, with 38...

Clear Secure operates a biometric identity verification platform in U.S. airports and partner locations, with 38 million Total CLEAR Members and 166 CLEAR+ Lanes across 60 airports as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes substantially from CLEAR+, a $209/year consumer aviation subscription, supplemented by TSA PreCheck enrollment fees and B2B identity verification via CLEAR1.

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