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YBYuanbao Inc.Buy Wait7.9·$13.71+0.59%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Yuanbao pairs elite quality metrics and a strong overall score with a confirmed technical downtrend and a failed asymmetry gate, leaving the engine to wait for a better entry despite fundamentally strong business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Compounding FundamentalsStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Below 200maImproving
  • Asymmetry Gate Failed Target ReachedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Yuanbao Inc. (YB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $12.29. At $13.71 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $12.29 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Yuanbao Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage and agency licenses services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers medical, critical illness, accident, property, and pet insurance products. Yuanbao Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is... Read more

$13.71+12.1% A.UpsideScore 7.9/10#1 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield9.30%Payout0.00%sustainable
Entry $12.29(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $10.99Target $15.37(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$18.08+31.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $12.29. At $13.71 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $12.29 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Technology:count=10:cap=10. Wait for improvement. Score 7.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and sector concentration cap sector=technology count=10 cap=10. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong overall score: 7.9/10
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.2
P/E (Fwd)2.8
Mkt Cap$632M
EV/EBITDA-2.7
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE47.9%
Rev Growth35.6%
Beta
Dividend9.30%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
3.0
Bollinger
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Technology count=10 cap=10Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.11Resistance $14.39

Price Targets

$11
$12
$15
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.6%
Max %3.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Technology:count=10:cap=10
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $12.29. At $13.71 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $12.29 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Technology:count=10:cap=10. Wait for improvement. Target $15.37 (+12.1%), stop $10.99 (−24.7%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 7.9/10, high confidence.

What is the YB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.37 (+12.1% upside). Target $15.37 (+12.1%), stop $10.99 (−24.7%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $10.99.

What are the risks of investing in YB?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is YB overvalued or undervalued?

Yuanbao Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.2 (forward 2.8). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about YB?

9 analysts cover YB with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Yuanbao Inc. do?Yuanbao Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage and agency licenses services in the People's...

Yuanbao Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage and agency licenses services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers medical, critical illness, accident, property, and pet insurance products. Yuanbao Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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