Skip to main content
YBYuanbao Inc.Buy Wait7.8·$12.05
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Yuanbao pairs elite quality metrics and a strong overall score with a confirmed technical downtrend and a failed asymmetry gate, leaving the engine to wait for a better entry despite fundamentally strong business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Compounding FundamentalsStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Below 200maDeteriorating
  • Asymmetry Gate Failed Target ReachedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Yuanbao Inc. (YB) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $11.50. At $12.05 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $11.50 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Yuanbao Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage and agency licenses services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers medical, critical illness, accident, property, and pet insurance products. Yuanbao Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is... Read more

$12.05+9.4% A.UpsideScore 7.8/10#1 of 123 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield10.09%Payout33.97%sustainable
Entry $11.50(1 ATR pullback)Stop $10.70Target $13.19(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$15.51+28.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $11.50. At $12.05 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $11.50 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Deep value: 78% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | Falling knife (FK=6.5): wait for stabilization. Score 7.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong overall score: 7.8/10
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.4%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.2
P/E (Fwd)2.4
Mkt Cap$560M
EV/EBITDA-2.8
Profit Mgn29.9%
ROE47.2%
Rev Growth30.1%
Beta
Dividend10.09%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·4 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.3
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.03Resistance $14.34

Price Targets

$11
$12
$13
A.Upside+9.4%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for YB.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $11.50. At $12.05 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $11.50 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Deep value: 78% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | Falling knife (FK=6.5): wait for stabilization. Target $13.19 (+9.5%), stop $10.70 (−12.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 7.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.19 (+9.4% upside). Target $13.19 (+9.5%), stop $10.70 (−12.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $10.70.

What are the risks of investing in YB?

Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is YB overvalued or undervalued?

Yuanbao Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.2 (forward 2.4). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about YB?

9 analysts cover YB with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Yuanbao Inc. do?Yuanbao Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage and agency licenses services in the People's...

Yuanbao Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance brokerage and agency licenses services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers medical, critical illness, accident, property, and pet insurance products. Yuanbao Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: DAVE (Dave Inc.) · HKD (AMTD Digital Inc.) · ADEA (Adeia Inc.) · VTEX (VTEX) · MITK (Mitek Systems, Inc.)
Home Stocks YB

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat70d ago
MarketBeat70d ago
MarketBeat21d ago
富途牛牛84d ago
Yahoo Finance85d agoEarnings
The Edge Malaysia85d ago
TradingKey57d ago
TradingKey58d ago
TradingKey58d ago
TradingKey56d ago
Vinanet.vn35d ago
Siam.in6d ago
Vinanet41d ago
TradingKey42d agoEarnings
MarketBeat13d ago
Grafa.com13d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com13d agoEarnings
AlphaStreet13d agoEarnings
News.alphastreet.com13d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail13d agoEarnings
Loading more...