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YETIYETI Holdings, Inc.Hold5.9·$50.43+2.46%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

YETI Holdings is a wide-moat consumer brand with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9 and a 3-of-4 earnings beat record, but the stock has exceeded analyst price targets with negative asymmetry of negative 0.49 and high geographic concentration in the United States at 79%, leaving limited upside at current prices near $50.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Us Concentration Geographic RiskStable
  • Target Exceeded Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

YETI Holdings designs and distributes premium outdoor products — drinkware (58% of 2025 net sales), coolers and equipment (40%), and other — sold globally through DTC (60% of sales) and wholesale (40%) channels. No single customer accounted for 10% or more of gross sales in... Read more

$50.43+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.66%
Stop $46.21Target $50.85(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$51.53+2.2%15 analysts
$50.85our TP
$50.43price
$51.53mean
$41
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About YETI Holdings, Inc.

About YETI Holdings, Inc.

YETI's DTC channel accounted for 60% of fiscal 2025 net sales — up from 59% in 2024 — while the wholesale channel represented 40%, reaching approximately 5,300 retail partners worldwide as of January 3, 2026. Drinkware represented 58% of 2025 net sales and Coolers & Equipment 40%. Approximately 79% of 2025 net sales came from the United States, with Canada, Australia, the United Kingdom, and Japan comprising the remaining 21%.

YETI earns through two channels: DTC (the company's own websites, YETI Authorized on Amazon Marketplace, and retail stores) and wholesale (through partners including Dick's Sporting Goods, REI, Academy Sports + Outdoors, Bass Pro Shops, and Ace Hardware). Pricing is premium and maintained through supply discipline; the company sells primarily through one-step distribution and requires partners to comply with pricing policies. All products are manufactured by third-party contract manufacturers — primarily in China, Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, Mexico, and Poland — with YETI owning the molds and tooling. Primary raw materials include polyethylene, polyurethane foam, stainless-steel, and polyester fabric, described in the 10-K as available from multiple vendors. Competitors in Coolers include Igloo, Coleman, Stanley, and SharkNinja; in Drinkware, HydroFlask, Stanley, Owala, and HydroJug. No single customer represented 10% or more of gross sales in 2025.

Show full overview

YETI places production orders before receiving firm customer orders, exposing the company to inventory write-downs if demand misses forecasts. The 10-K identifies tariff-driven cost increases on goods imported from China, Thailand, and Vietnam as compounding variables alongside seasonal weather effects and consumer confidence shifts. Excess inventory, the filing specifies, could force sales at 'discounted prices or in less preferred distribution channels,' undermining the premium positioning that supports the company's pricing strategy. With 60% of 2025 net sales in the DTC channel, any demand shortfall in the direct segment translates more directly into margin pressure than in a heavily franchised model.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

From YETI Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (79.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.4
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE22.3%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta1.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States79%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our net sales in the United States accounted for approximately 79% of our net sales for 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.63Resistance $51.89

Price Targets

$46
$51
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YETI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $50.85 (+0.8%), stop $46.21 (−9.1%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YETI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.85 (+2.3% upside). Target $50.85 (+0.8%), stop $46.21 (−9.1%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $46.21.

What are the risks of investing in YETI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Is YETI overvalued or undervalued?

YETI Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.4 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about YETI?

23 analysts cover YETI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $52.

What does YETI Holdings, Inc. do?YETI Holdings designs and distributes premium outdoor products — drinkware (58% of 2025 net sales), coolers and...

YETI Holdings designs and distributes premium outdoor products — drinkware (58% of 2025 net sales), coolers and equipment (40%), and other — sold globally through DTC (60% of sales) and wholesale (40%) channels. No single customer accounted for 10% or more of gross sales in 2025; approximately 79% of net sales came from the United States.

Related stocks: PLNT (Planet Fitness, Inc.) · AS (Amer Sports, Inc.) · HAS (Hasbro, Inc.) · FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corpora) · OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited)
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