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ASAmer Sports, Inc.Sell7.0·$30.49
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Amer Sports is a wide-moat growth leader (32% YoY growth, forward P/E 17.8x) trading 44.5% below its $42.52 analyst target, but it sits in a confirmed downtrend with a high-beta, cyclical consumer profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Growth Leader→Stable
  • Wide Moat Quality→Stable
  • Attractive Forward Valuation↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $30.49: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and accessories in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments:... Read more

$30.49+39.4% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.09%
Stop $28.65Analyst target $42.52(−10% haircut)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst consensus$47.24+54.9%26 analysts with price targets
$42.52Analyst target
$30.49price
$47.24mean
$67

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $30.49: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 14, 2026

Recent Developments — Amer Sports, Inc.

Latest item Oct 14, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:29:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.1
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$17.7B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth32.1%
Beta1.97
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$22-27.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
4.3
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.74Resistance $31.09

Price Targets

$29
$43
A.Upside+39.4%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings33
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$47

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $30.49: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $28.65. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AS stock price target?

Analyst target: $42.52 (+39.4% upside). Prior stop was $28.65. Stop-loss: $28.65.

What are the risks of investing in AS?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is AS overvalued or undervalued?

Amer Sports, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.1 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AS?

33 analysts rate AS, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 26 analysts publish price targets averaging $47.

What does Amer Sports, Inc. do?Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and...

Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and accessories in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Technical Apparel, Outdoor Performance, and Ball & Racquet Sports. The Technical Apparel segment offers outdoor apparel, footwear, and accessories, which include climbing gear. The Outdoor Performance segment provides hiking and running footwear, functional apparel, skiing and snowboarding gear, and lifestyle footwear products. The Ball & Racquet Sports segment offers sports equipment for tennis, baseball, American football, basketball, golf, and various other professional and recreational sports, as well as functional athletic apparel. This segment provides custom-fitting protective gear and apparel for baseball, softball, football, and lacrosse. The company sells its products under the Arc'teryx, PeakPerformance, Salomon, Atomic, Armada, Wilson, Louisville Slugger, DeMarini, EvoShield, and Atec brands. It distributes its products through retail stores, general sporting goods retailers, specialty stores, independently operated partner stores, and distributors, as well as retailer-owned and third-party e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Amer Sports Management Holding (Cayman) Limited and changed its name to Amer Sports, Inc. in August 2023. Amer Sports, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is based in Helsinki, Finland.

Related stocks: YETI (YETI Holdings, Inc.) · HAS (Hasbro, Inc.) · PTON (Peloton Interactive, Inc.) · CALY (Callaway Golf Company) · PLNT (Planet Fitness, Inc.)
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