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CALYCallaway Golf CompanySell5.9·$15.88
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Callaway Golf has a perfect four-quarter beat streak, a strong Piotroski score and about 17.1% upside to target, but earnings arrive in 4 days and quality is only middling.

Thesis pillars

  • Moderate Margins Strong Piotroski→Stable
  • Perfect Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Valuation Upside↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $15.88, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Callaway Golf designs, manufactures, and sells golf clubs, golf balls, and soft goods under Callaway, Odyssey, TravisMathew, and OGIO brands through two segments: Golf Equipment and Apparel, Gear & Other. Products are sold wholesale to golf retailers and directly to consumers... Read more

$15.88+11.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.30%
Stop $15.00Analyst target $17.75(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$20.40+28.5%10 analysts with price targets
$17.75Analyst target
$15.88price
$20.40mean
$23

Sell if holding. At $15.88, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 1, 2026

Recent Developments — Callaway Golf Company

Latest item Nov 1, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Overbought (RSI 80)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn-12.4%
ROE3.5%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV71%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-5 consolidated customers21%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top five customers accounted for approximately 21%, 22% and 23% of our consolidated revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWCustomerGolf Equipment top-5 customers24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Golf Equipment top five customers accounted for approximately 24%, 26% and 25% of total consolidated Golf Equipment sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomerApparel, Gear top-5 customers25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Apparel, Gear and Other top five customers accounted for approximately 25%, 24% and 26% of total consolidated Apparel, Gear and Other sales in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
5.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
5.3
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.40Resistance $16.32

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+11.8%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CALY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $15.88, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.00. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the CALY stock price target?

Analyst target: $17.75 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $15.00. Stop-loss: $15.00.

What are the risks of investing in CALY?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Overbought (RSI 80).

Is CALY overvalued or undervalued?

Callaway Golf Company trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CALY?

18 analysts rate CALY, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $20.

What does Callaway Golf Company do?Callaway Golf designs, manufactures, and sells golf clubs, golf balls, and soft goods under Callaway, Odyssey,...

Callaway Golf designs, manufactures, and sells golf clubs, golf balls, and soft goods under Callaway, Odyssey, TravisMathew, and OGIO brands through two segments: Golf Equipment and Apparel, Gear & Other. Products are sold wholesale to golf retailers and directly to consumers globally; following the January 2026 Topgolf divestiture, the company employs approximately 4,000 people in 25 countries.

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