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Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.30: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Callaway Golf Company designs and sells golf clubs, golf balls, apparel, and accessories under the Callaway, Odyssey, TravisMathew, and OGIO brands globally. Following the January 2026 sale of a 60% stake in Topgolf to Leonard Green & Partners, the company operates as a... Read more

$15.30-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 13 Leisure
Stop $14.23Target $15.26(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$16.75+9.5%10 analysts
$15.26our TP
$15.30price
$16.75mean
$19

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.30: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)72.2
P/E (Fwd)25.5
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA19.8
Profit Mgn-19.9%
ROE1.7%
Rev Growth-60.2%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$3-83.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop five customers21%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top five customers accounted for approximately 21%, 22% and 23% of our consolidated revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
2.7

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.6
Roa
0.7
Gross Margin
4.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.1
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -50% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.39Resistance $15.57

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CALY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.30: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.23. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CALY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.26 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.23. Stop-loss: $14.23.

What are the risks of investing in CALY?

Target reached (-4.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CALY overvalued or undervalued?

Callaway Golf Company trades at a P/E of 72.2 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CALY?

20 analysts cover CALY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Callaway Golf Company do?Callaway Golf Company designs and sells golf clubs, golf balls, apparel, and accessories under the Callaway, Odyssey,...

Callaway Golf Company designs and sells golf clubs, golf balls, apparel, and accessories under the Callaway, Odyssey, TravisMathew, and OGIO brands globally. Following the January 2026 sale of a 60% stake in Topgolf to Leonard Green & Partners, the company operates as a pure-play golf business distributed through retail and direct-to-consumer channels.

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