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Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. At $15.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Callaway Golf Company is a premium golf equipment and lifestyle brand company selling golf clubs, balls, bags, and apparel under the Callaway, Odyssey, and Topgolf Callaway brands globally. The company also operates Topgolf entertainment venues and the Jack Wolfskin outdoor... Read more

$15.22+4.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#11 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.31%
Stop $14.17Target $15.85(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$18.22+19.7%9 analysts
$15.85our TP
$15.22price
$18.22mean
$23

Sell if holding. At $15.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Callaway Golf Company

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.0%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.5
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn-15.0%
ROE2.2%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$3-83.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
3.1
Growth Rank
4.2
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.99Resistance $18.00

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CALY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $15.22, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $14.17. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the CALY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.85 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.17. Stop-loss: $14.17.

What are the risks of investing in CALY?

Thin upside margin: 4.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is CALY overvalued or undervalued?

Callaway Golf Company trades at a P/E of 57.5 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CALY?

20 analysts cover CALY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Callaway Golf Company do?Callaway Golf Company is a premium golf equipment and lifestyle brand company selling golf clubs, balls, bags, and...

Callaway Golf Company is a premium golf equipment and lifestyle brand company selling golf clubs, balls, bags, and apparel under the Callaway, Odyssey, and Topgolf Callaway brands globally. The company also operates Topgolf entertainment venues and the Jack Wolfskin outdoor apparel brand.

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