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HASHasbro, Inc.Sell6.1·$83.33-1.01%
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Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $83.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with franchises including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, TRANSFORMERS, and NERF, operating through Wizards of the Coast/Digital Gaming and Consumer Products segments. Products are sold globally to retailers, distributors, and direct... Read more

$83.33+22.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.60%
IncomeYield3.33%(5y avg 4.01%)Payout92.41%at-risk
Stop $80.14Target $102.18(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$113.53+36.2%15 analysts
$102.18our TP
$83.33price
$113.53mean
$125

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $83.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$11.9B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn-4.6%
ROE-23.3%
Rev Growth12.7%
Beta0.48
Dividend3.33%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon.com and Wal-Mart20%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customers, Amazon.com, Inc. and Wal-Mart, Inc. together represented 20% of consolidated global net revenues, with each accounting for 11% and 9%, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.6
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $82.62Resistance $97.60

Price Targets

$80
$102
A.Upside+22.6%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $83.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $80.14. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the HAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.18 (+22.3% upside). Prior stop was $80.14. Stop-loss: $80.14.

What are the risks of investing in HAS?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is HAS overvalued or undervalued?

Hasbro, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HAS?

21 analysts cover HAS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $114.

What does Hasbro, Inc. do?Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with franchises including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, TRANSFORMERS,...

Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with franchises including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, TRANSFORMERS, and NERF, operating through Wizards of the Coast/Digital Gaming and Consumer Products segments. Products are sold globally to retailers, distributors, and direct consumers; Amazon.com (11%) and Wal-Mart (9%) together represent 20% of consolidated global net revenues.

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