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Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. At $96.79, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with franchises including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, TRANSFORMERS, and NERF, operating through Wizards of the Coast/Digital Gaming and Consumer Products segments. Products are sold globally to retailers, distributors, and direct... Read more

$96.79+5.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.13%
IncomeYield2.99%(5y avg 4.00%)Payout92.41%at-risk
Stop $91.94Target $102.42(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$113.80+17.6%15 analysts
$102.42our TP
$96.79price
$113.80mean
$125

Sell if holding. At $96.79, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Hasbro, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.4%
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$13.3B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn-4.6%
ROE-23.3%
Rev Growth12.7%
Beta0.52
Dividend2.99%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon.com and Wal-Mart20%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customers, Amazon.com, Inc. and Wal-Mart, Inc. together represented 20% of consolidated global net revenues, with each accounting for 11% and 9%, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.51Resistance $99.20

Price Targets

$92
$102
A.Upside+5.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $96.79, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $91.94. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the HAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.42 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $91.94. Stop-loss: $91.94.

What are the risks of investing in HAS?

Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5.

Is HAS overvalued or undervalued?

Hasbro, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HAS?

21 analysts cover HAS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $114.

What does Hasbro, Inc. do?Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with franchises including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, TRANSFORMERS,...

Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with franchises including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, TRANSFORMERS, and NERF, operating through Wizards of the Coast/Digital Gaming and Consumer Products segments. Products are sold globally to retailers, distributors, and direct consumers; Amazon.com (11%) and Wal-Mart (9%) together represent 20% of consolidated global net revenues.

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