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Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. At $94.36, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.4%.

Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with brands including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, NERF, and TRANSFORMERS, serving kids, families, and fans through physical/digital products and licensing. Revenue comes from product sales (Consumer Products), licensing, and... Read more

$94.36+8.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 13 Leisure
Stop $87.79Target $102.36(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$113.73+20.5%15 analysts
$102.36our TP
$94.36price
$113.73mean
$125

Sell if holding. At $94.36, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.0): -1.5
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$13.3B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn-6.9%
ROE-36.4%
Rev Growth31.3%
Beta0.54
Dividend2.98%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.73bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$65-31.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerAmazon.com, Inc.11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Amazon.com, Inc. and Wal-Mart, Inc. accounted for approximately 11% and 9%, respectively, of our consolidated net revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.30Resistance $99.20

Price Targets

$88
$102
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-20 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $94.36, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $87.79. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $102.36 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $87.79. Stop-loss: $87.79.

What are the risks of investing in HAS?

Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.0): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap).

Is HAS overvalued or undervalued?

Hasbro, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HAS?

21 analysts cover HAS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $114.

What does Hasbro, Inc. do?Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with brands including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, NERF, and...

Hasbro is a global game, IP, and toy company with brands including MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, NERF, and TRANSFORMERS, serving kids, families, and fans through physical/digital products and licensing. Revenue comes from product sales (Consumer Products), licensing, and digital gaming (Wizards of the Coast). Amazon (11%) and Walmart (9%) are its largest customers in 2025.

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