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SAILSailPoint, Inc.Sell5.7·$14.53-0.65%
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SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.53: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality.

SailPoint delivers SaaS and customer-hosted identity security solutions for enterprise governance, serving approximately 3,235 organizations globally as of January 31, 2026. Revenue grew from $699.6M to $1.1B between FY2024 and FY2026, earned via annual and multi-year... Read more

$14.53+18.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#31 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.89%
Stop $13.51Target $17.19(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$19.10+31.5%24 analysts
$17.19our TP
$14.53price
$19.10mean
$10
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.53: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 202686d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)37.0
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA882.4
Profit Mgn-14.0%
ROE-2.3%
Rev Growth21.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$5-65.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside of the United States35%
    10-K Item 1: 'During the fiscal years ended January 31, 2026 and 2025, we generated 35% and 32%, respectively, of our revenue from outside of the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Volatile — 9.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
News Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
6.3
Debt Equity
8.9
High short interest justified: 18%Elevated put/call: 3.00High IV: 84%Above max pain $5
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.36Resistance $20.15

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside+18.3%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAIL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.53: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.51. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SAIL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.19 (+18.3% upside). Prior stop was $13.51. Stop-loss: $13.51.

What are the risks of investing in SAIL?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is SAIL overvalued or undervalued?

SailPoint, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 37.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SAIL?

30 analysts cover SAIL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does SailPoint, Inc. do?SailPoint delivers SaaS and customer-hosted identity security solutions for enterprise governance, serving...

SailPoint delivers SaaS and customer-hosted identity security solutions for enterprise governance, serving approximately 3,235 organizations globally as of January 31, 2026. Revenue grew from $699.6M to $1.1B between FY2024 and FY2026, earned via annual and multi-year subscription contracts primarily to large enterprises.

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