Tuya Inc. (TUYA) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TUYA stock price target?

Take-profit $2.93 (+29.9% upside). Target $2.93 (+30.2%), stop $2.15 (−4.7%), A.R:R 4.2:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TUYA?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (3d, -1.6%); Momentum score 2.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is TUYA overvalued or undervalued?

Tuya Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about TUYA?

11 analysts cover TUYA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $3.

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (3d, -1.6%).

$2.25+29.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#41 of 80 Software - Infrastructure

Stop $2.15Target $2.93(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.2:1

Analyst target$3.37+49.9%5 analysts

$2.93our TP

$2.25price

$3.37mean

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (3d, -1.6%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Analyst upside: 30%

Risks

Negative momentum

Below 200-MA (3d, -1.6%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.9

P/E (Fwd)17.2

Mkt Cap$1.4B

EV/EBITDA33.2

Profit Mgn18.0%

ROE5.7%

Rev Growth3.0%

Beta0.43

Dividend5.11%

Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C4.44bearish

IV102%elevated

Max Pain$2-11.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.915%1.03

Quality4.915%0.73

Growth6.615%0.99

Momentum2.210%0.22

Sentiment6.510%0.65

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.210%0.52

Technical Setup7.25%0.36

Risk Profile5.15%0.26

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)5.64

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

2.0

Macd

3.5

Rsi

4.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

44 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $2.22Resistance $2.52

Price Targets

A.Upside+30.2%

A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TUYA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (3d, -1.6%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $2.93 (+30.2%), stop $2.15 (−4.7%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TUYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2.93 (+29.9% upside). Target $2.93 (+30.2%), stop $2.15 (−4.7%), A.R:R 4.2:1. Stop-loss: $2.15.

What are the risks of investing in TUYA?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (3d, -1.6%).

Is TUYA overvalued or undervalued?

Tuya Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TUYA?

11 analysts cover TUYA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Tuya Inc. do?Tuya Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) cloud platform services in the People's Republic of China. Its AI cloud...

Tuya Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) cloud platform services in the People's Republic of China. Its AI cloud developer platform delivers a suite of offerings, including platform-as-a-service (PaaS), software-as-a-service (SaaS), and smart solutions to developers of smart device, commercial applications, and industries. The company's PaaS offering enables original equipment manufacturers and brands, and developers to develop, launch, manage, and monetize software-enabled smart devices and services. Its SaaS offering enables businesses to deploy, connect, and manage smart devices in various vertical scenarios for spatial intelligence and cloud-based software value-added services to build their own autonomous and controllable smart business platforms. Its solutions include cube private cloud, smart hospitality, smart residential, commercial lighting, and smart house and real estate. The company also offers a range of other cloud-based value-added services to enhance their ability to develop and manage IoT experiences for businesses, developers, and end users. In addition, it provides smart solutions for smart devices integrated with AI and intelligent software capabilities. The company serves brands, original equipment manufacturers, industry operators, and system integrators across a range of industry verticals, such as smart home and business, renewable energy, education, agriculture, outdoors and sport, and entertainment. Tuya Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.