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DLODLocal LimitedBuy Wait6.9·$14.92+2.97%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Return on equity of 35%, free cash flow converting at 206% of net income, a wide economic moat, and 55% revenue growth year-over-year combine to describe a high-quality, fast-growing business trading at a forward earnings multiple of roughly 11.5x with a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.16 — a combination that screens attractively valued; the stock sits below its 200-day moving average in a near-term pullback, but the long-term average is still rising, and the 19% headroom to the analyst target offers favorable risk/reward, with an elevated put/call ratio as the primary sentiment overhang.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Attractive Valuation For GrowthStable
  • High Quality Business FundamentalsStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DLocal Limited (DLO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Wait for pullback to $13.22. At $14.92 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.22 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Negative momentum.

DLocal Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides payment processing services worldwide. The company offers a robust pay-in solution to help global merchants expand their online presence and receive payments, including international and local cards, online bank transfers,... Read more

$14.92+5.3% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#2 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.30%
IncomeYield1.34%Payout0.00%sustainable
Entry $13.22(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $12.07Target $15.70(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$18.05+21.0%10 analysts
$15.70our TP
$14.92price
$18.05mean
$21

Wait for pullback to $13.22. At $14.92 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.22 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE35.0%
Rev Growth54.9%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.34%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)INSIDER 0.35%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.54Resistance $15.51

Price Targets

$12
$13
$16
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DLO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $13.22. At $14.92 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.22 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $15.70 (+5.2%), stop $12.07 (−23.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DLO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.70 (+5.3% upside). Target $15.70 (+5.2%), stop $12.07 (−23.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $12.07.

What are the risks of investing in DLO?

Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Negative momentum.

Is DLO overvalued or undervalued?

DLocal Limited trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DLO?

15 analysts cover DLO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does DLocal Limited do?DLocal Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides payment processing services worldwide. The company offers a...

DLocal Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides payment processing services worldwide. The company offers a robust pay-in solution to help global merchants expand their online presence and receive payments, including international and local cards, online bank transfers, direct debit, cash, and hundreds of alternative payment methods (APMs). It also provides pay-in solutions for cross-border and local-to-local transactions, as well as pay-out solutions. In addition, the company offers dLocal for Platforms to manage global platform payments. It serves its products to commerce, streaming, ride-hailing, financial services, remittances, advertising, SaaS, travel, e-learning, on-demand delivery, gaming, and crypto industries. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.

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