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SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.40: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.83; Below-average business quality.

SailPoint delivers SaaS and customer-hosted identity security solutions for enterprise governance, serving approximately 3,235 organizations globally as of January 31, 2026. Revenue grew from $699.6M to $1.1B between FY2024 and FY2026, earned via annual and multi-year... Read more

$14.40+14.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#35 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.64%
Stop $13.46Target $16.55(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$18.39+27.7%23 analysts
$16.55our TP
$14.40price
$18.39mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.40: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.83; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — SailPoint, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)37.7
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA-81.5
Profit Mgn-25.2%
ROE-42.9%
Rev Growth22.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C11.83bearish
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside of the United States35%
    10-K Item 1: 'During the fiscal years ended January 31, 2026 and 2025, we generated 35% and 32%, respectively, of our revenue from outside of the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
1.6
Gap
5.0

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.7
Days To Cover
6.0
Debt Equity
8.9
High short interest justified: 18%Elevated put/call: 11.83High IV: 90%
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.08Resistance $15.09

Price Targets

$13
$17
A.Upside+14.9%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-09 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAIL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.40: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.83; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $13.46. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SAIL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.55 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $13.46. Stop-loss: $13.46.

What are the risks of investing in SAIL?

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is SAIL overvalued or undervalued?

SailPoint, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 37.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SAIL?

29 analysts cover SAIL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does SailPoint, Inc. do?SailPoint delivers SaaS and customer-hosted identity security solutions for enterprise governance, serving...

SailPoint delivers SaaS and customer-hosted identity security solutions for enterprise governance, serving approximately 3,235 organizations globally as of January 31, 2026. Revenue grew from $699.6M to $1.1B between FY2024 and FY2026, earned via annual and multi-year subscription contracts primarily to large enterprises.

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