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RELYRemitly Global, Inc.Sell6.9·$20.40+3.92%
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Remitly Global, Inc. (RELY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.40: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: global money movement.

Remitly Global is a digital cross-border payments platform serving 9.3 million quarterly active customers across more than 175 countries, with $74.9 billion in send volume and $1.6 billion in revenue in 2025. Revenue is earned through transaction fees and foreign exchange... Read more

$20.40+22.0% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#4 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.40%
Stop $18.93Target $24.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$28.56+40.0%9 analysts
$24.84our TP
$20.40price
$28.56mean
$33

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.40: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: global money movement. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Remitly Global, Inc.

About Remitly Global, Inc.

Remitly Global processed $74.9 billion in cross-border send volume in fiscal 2025, up 37% year-over-year, generating $1.6 billion in revenue across more than 9.3 million quarterly active customers in over 175 countries. The company reached its first GAAP-profitable year in 2025, recording net income of $67.9 million, after net losses of $37.0 million in 2024 and $117.8 million in 2023, operating a platform spanning more than 5,300 payment corridors.

Remitly earns revenue through transaction fees and foreign exchange spreads on transfers, with the substantial majority of revenue coming from its global money movement product. Customers primarily send from the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Europe, with India, Mexico, and the Philippines among the largest receive countries by send volume. The company operates no physical agent network — instead integrating directly with bank accounts, card networks including Visa and Mastercard, digital wallets such as Apple Pay and Google Pay, and over 490,000 cash pick-up locations to disburse funds. In certain regions only a limited number of third-party service providers are capable of processing payments, creating dependency on those partners. Transaction losses attributable to fraud, errors, and misconduct totaled $84.2 million, or 0.11% of total send volume, in fiscal 2025.

Show full overview

Remitly is subject to money transmission licensing and AML compliance requirements across every jurisdiction it serves — including all 50 U.S. states under the Bank Secrecy Act and FinCEN registration, the United Kingdom, the European Economic Area, Canada, and receiver-country regulations in India, Mexico, and the Philippines. The 10-K notes these obligations are "extensive, complex, frequently evolving, and increasing in scope" and may impose "overlapping and/or conflicting requirements or obligations." A compliance failure or license revocation in any major corridor could limit or terminate service in that market, materially reducing send volume and revenue.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Remitly Global, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Remitly Global, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Ankur Sinha, Chief Product and Technology Officer, resigned effective June 19, 2026. No successor named. No disagreement regarding financial reporting or accounting policies cited.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:41:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: global money movement
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.1
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA24.5
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth25.2%
Beta0.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$10-51.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductglobal money movement
    10-K Item 1: 'The substantial majority of our revenue is currently generated from our global money movement product'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Ankur Sinha, Chief Product and Technology Officer, resigned effective June 19, 2026. No successor named. No disagreement regarding financial reporting or accounting policies cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 10 to 11 directors; Adam Messinger appointed as Class III director effective April 6, 2026, assigned to the Talent and Compensation Committee. Former CTO of Twitter. No officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Accounting Officer Luke Tavis retired effective March 31, 2026; Tai-Hong Fung appointed as successor CAO effective April 1, 2026. Clean handoff. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.4>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.70Resistance $21.76

Price Targets

$19
$25
A.Upside+21.8%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts16
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$29

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RELY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.40: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: global money movement. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $18.93. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RELY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.84 (+22.0% upside). Prior stop was $18.93. Stop-loss: $18.93.

What are the risks of investing in RELY?

Concentration risk — Product: global money movement; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5.

Is RELY overvalued or undervalued?

Remitly Global, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.1 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RELY?

16 analysts cover RELY with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Remitly Global, Inc. do?Remitly Global is a digital cross-border payments platform serving 9.3 million quarterly active customers across more...

Remitly Global is a digital cross-border payments platform serving 9.3 million quarterly active customers across more than 175 countries, with $74.9 billion in send volume and $1.6 billion in revenue in 2025. Revenue is earned through transaction fees and foreign exchange spreads on international money transfers.

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