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PDPagerDuty, Inc.Sell4.8·$9.98-0.50%
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PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

PagerDuty, Inc. engages in the operation of a digital operations management platform in the United States and internationally. The company collects data and digital signals from virtually any software-enabled system or device and leverages artificial intelligence and powerful... Read more

$9.98+1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#120 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15.03%
Stop $9.28Target $10.09(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$9.14-8.4%7 analysts
$10.09our TP
$9.98price
$9.14mean
$7

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 2, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Margin of safety: 68%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.8
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$765M
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn38.6%
ROE94.6%
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta0.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.63bearish
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
52w Position
1.1
Support Resistance
1.5

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.42%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.14Resistance $10.30

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 0.42%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-02 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $9.28. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the PD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.09 (+1.1% upside). Prior stop was $9.28. Stop-loss: $9.28.

What are the risks of investing in PD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is PD overvalued or undervalued?

PagerDuty, Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.8 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PD?

17 analysts cover PD with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $9.

What does PagerDuty, Inc. do?PagerDuty, Inc. engages in the operation of a digital operations management platform in the United States and...

PagerDuty, Inc. engages in the operation of a digital operations management platform in the United States and internationally. The company collects data and digital signals from virtually any software-enabled system or device and leverages artificial intelligence and powerful machine learning to correlate, process, predict, and remediate incident. Its platform includes PagerDuty Incident Management that provides a real-time view status of a digital service; AIOps that applies machine learning to correlate and automate the identification of incidents from billions of events; automation offers centralized design time and run time environment for orchestrating automated workflows; customer service operations, which is offered to orchestrate, automate, and scale responses to customer issues; and artificial intelligence offers generative AI capabilities for the PagerDuty operations cloud platform . The company serves various industries, including software and technology, telecommunications, retail, travel and hospitality, media and entertainment, and financial services. PagerDuty, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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