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VTEXVTEXSell5.8·$4.14-0.96%
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VTEX (VTEX) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $4.14. Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

VTEX, together with its subsidiaries, provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers. It provides VTEX platform that enables customers to execute commerce strategy, including building online stores, and integrating and managing... Read more

$4.14+26.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#50 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.58%
Stop $3.85Target $5.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$6.01+45.2%10 analysts
$5.23our TP
$4.14price
$6.01mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $4.14. Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 26%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$706M
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta1.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV115%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.8
52w Position
2.1
GatesINSIDER 0.18%=MODERATEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.46Resistance $4.29

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+26.3%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts16
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$6

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $4.14. Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $3.85. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.23 (+26.3% upside). Prior stop was $3.85. Stop-loss: $3.85.

What are the risks of investing in VTEX?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is VTEX overvalued or undervalued?

VTEX trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VTEX?

16 analysts cover VTEX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $6.

What does VTEX do?VTEX, together with its subsidiaries, provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands...

VTEX, together with its subsidiaries, provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers. It provides VTEX platform that enables customers to execute commerce strategy, including building online stores, and integrating and managing orders across channels, as well as creating marketplaces to sell products from third-party vendors. The company also offers customer support services; and optional services, such as project management, solutions architecting, and implementation consulting services. It serves its products to home appliances, apparel and accessories, beauty and health, electronics, grocery, department stores, and toys and hobbies, as well as home, furniture, and decoration markets. The company has operations in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, France, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Portugal, Romania, Spain, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. VTEX was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.

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