Skip to main content
BOXBox, Inc.Sell4.9·$25.29-0.41%
Open full analysis

Box, Inc. (BOX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.29: Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

Box provides a cloud-based Intelligent Content Management platform for unstructured data, serving over 100,000 paying organizations across 25 languages on a SaaS model. Revenue comes from subscriptions recognized ratably over terms of one month to three years or more; no single... Read more

$25.29+11.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#65 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.33%
Stop $23.55Target $28.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$32.50+28.5%8 analysts
$28.27our TP
$25.29price
$32.50mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.29: Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Box, Inc.

About Box, Inc.

Box serves over 100,000 paying organizations across 25 languages with a cloud-based content management platform that integrates storage, collaboration, e-signature, governance, and AI capabilities. The net retention rate reached approximately 104% as of January 31, 2026, up from 102% the prior year. No single customer represented 10% or more of revenue in fiscal 2026, reflecting broad customer diversification.

Box earns revenue from SaaS subscriptions recognized ratably over contract terms of one month to three years or more, targeting enterprise and highly-regulated customers in life sciences, financial services, retail, and public sectors. Sales reach customers through a high-touch direct salesforce, a self-service online platform, value-added resellers, and systems integrators. The company competes primarily against Microsoft (SharePoint and OneDrive), OpenText (Documentum), and Google (Drive) in enterprise content management and file sync, with those competitors holding greater resources and the ability to bundle content management into broader enterprise license agreements at lower marginal cost. Box has built integrations with AI model providers including Microsoft Azure OpenAI, Google Cloud Vertex AI, Anthropic Claude, and Amazon Titan via Amazon Bedrock, allowing customers to query and process content using large language models—though competitors may incorporate AI capabilities more efficiently or achieve faster adoption, which could weigh on demand for Box offerings.

Show full overview

Box faces a layered and rapidly evolving AI regulatory environment. The EU AI Act, adopted by the European Council in May 2024, imposes significant obligations on AI system use, with member-state implementation expected to generate additional compliance requirements. At the U.S. state level, the 10-K names eight states—including California, Colorado, Illinois, and Texas—as having enacted AI-specific legislation. The Trump administration's January 2025 executive order rescinding the prior Biden AI order, and the July 2025 federal AI Action Plan, introduce policy uncertainty that the filing acknowledges may present either opportunities or additional risks to Box depending on how AI regulation continues to evolve.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Box, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.7
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA-51.0
Profit Mgn-19.8%
ROE-575.8%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$15-40.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Value Rank
4.0
Growth Rank
4.1

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Implied Vol
0.8
Volatility
1.3
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
3.3
Days To Cover
4.7
Beta
5.3
Elevated put/call: 2.00High IV: 75%Above max pain $15
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $24.20Resistance $28.80

Price Targets

$24
$28
A.Upside+11.8%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0)
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.29: Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.55. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BOX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.27 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $23.55. Stop-loss: $23.55.

What are the risks of investing in BOX?

Risk below floor (2.3 < 3.0).

Is BOX overvalued or undervalued?

Box, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.7 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BOX?

14 analysts cover BOX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Box, Inc. do?Box provides a cloud-based Intelligent Content Management platform for unstructured data, serving over 100,000 paying...

Box provides a cloud-based Intelligent Content Management platform for unstructured data, serving over 100,000 paying organizations across 25 languages on a SaaS model. Revenue comes from subscriptions recognized ratably over terms of one month to three years or more; no single customer represented 10% or more of revenue in the year ended January 31, 2026. Primary enterprise competitors include Microsoft (SharePoint, OneDrive) and OpenText (Documentum).

Related stocks: PICS (PicS N.V.) · GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc) · KSPI (Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - ) · DLO (DLocal Limited) · RELY (Remitly Global, Inc.)
Home Stocks BOX

Latest news

Latest News

Stocktwits26d ago
Yahoo Finance27d ago
SiliconANGLE20d ago
Yahoo Finance20d agoEarnings
Investing.com20d ago
CNBC20d ago
Investing.com20d ago
Quiver Quantitative20d ago
Quiver Quantitative20d agoEarnings
Benzinga21d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus21d agoEarnings
AD HOC NEWS28d agoEarnings
MarketBeat28d agoEarnings
TradingView25d agoAnalyst
Barchart.com25d ago
Benzinga24d agoAnalyst
StockStory22d agoEarnings
Pottsville Republican Herald28d ago
Yahoo Finance29d ago
Benzinga24d ago
Loading more...