Skip to main content

Box, Inc. (BOX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-26). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $25.77, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Box provides a cloud-based Intelligent Content Management platform to over 100,000 paying organizations globally, enabling secure storage, collaboration, and AI-powered content workflows for enterprises. Revenue is subscription-based with a net retention rate of approximately... Read more

$25.77+8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#66 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.27%
Stop $23.97Target $28.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$32.25+25.1%8 analysts
$28.06our TP
$25.77price
$32.25mean
$45

Sell if holding. At $25.77, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Box, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.9%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.4
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA-51.8
Profit Mgn-19.8%
ROE-575.8%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$15-41.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.7
52w Position
3.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
4.0
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.92Resistance $26.00

Price Targets

$24
$28
A.Upside+8.9%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $25.77, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $23.97. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the BOX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.06 (+8.9% upside). Prior stop was $23.97. Stop-loss: $23.97.

What are the risks of investing in BOX?

Thin upside margin: 8.9%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is BOX overvalued or undervalued?

Box, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.4 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BOX?

14 analysts cover BOX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Box, Inc. do?Box provides a cloud-based Intelligent Content Management platform to over 100,000 paying organizations globally,...

Box provides a cloud-based Intelligent Content Management platform to over 100,000 paying organizations globally, enabling secure storage, collaboration, and AI-powered content workflows for enterprises. Revenue is subscription-based with a net retention rate of approximately 104% as of January 31, 2026. Over 1,500 pre-built integrations with enterprise applications create significant switching costs; no single customer represents 10% or more of revenue.

Related stocks: PICS (PicS N.V.) · DLO (DLocal Limited) · GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc) · ZETA (Zeta Global Holdings Corp.) · GEN (Gen Digital Inc.)