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ACIWACI Worldwide, Inc.Hold6.3·$53.44-0.41%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ACI Worldwide pairs a near-perfect Piotroski score with strong cash conversion, an attractive forward multiple of 11.7 times earnings, and 24% upside to analyst consensus — a combination that makes this one of the more compelling setups in the current list, pending confirmation that the technical recovery from the prior death cross area is sustained.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Low Peg ValuationImproving
  • Near Perfect Balance Sheet QualityDeteriorating
  • Technical Recovery In ProgressImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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ACI Worldwide, Inc. (ACIW) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 7.1%.

ACI Worldwide develops and markets payment software for banks, merchants, and billers across approximately 90 countries, serving nearly all of the top 10 global banks by assets and more than 80,000 merchants. Revenue comes from multi-year software licenses, SaaS/PaaS... Read more

$53.44+7.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#23 of 103 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.81%
Stop $49.70Target $57.23(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$67.33+26.0%3 analysts
$57.23our TP
$53.44price
$67.33mean
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 7.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ACI Worldwide, Inc.

About ACI Worldwide, Inc.

ACI Worldwide's ACI Payments Orchestration Platform serves more than 80,000 merchants globally — including seven of the top 10 global retailers — while bank and intermediary solutions reach customers in approximately 90 countries, encompassing nearly all of the top 10 global banks by asset size. Solutions span issuing, acquiring, real-time payments, bill presentment, and fraud management, delivered through on-premises, SaaS, or PaaS deployments with customer commitments of three to five years depending on the arrangement.

ACI earns revenue from three customer segments — banks and intermediaries, merchants, and billers — through a combination of term software licenses, SaaS/PaaS subscriptions, and professional services, with pricing tied to transaction volumes and deployment model. The merchant payments segment, anchored by the ACI Payments Orchestration Platform, competes against Adyen, Cybersource (Visa Acceptance Solutions), Fiserv, and Worldpay. Fraud management faces competition from Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO), Featurespace, Feedzai, and Forter. Bill payments is sold exclusively in the United States. Distribution relies primarily on direct sales, supplemented by distributors and referral partners in markets where direct presence is less efficient, and integration partnerships with systems integrators including Concerto, Opus Technologies, Synechron, and Cognizant.

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ACI's bank and intermediary customers face substantial migration costs when switching payment software vendors — the 10-K notes that transitioning from one vendor to another "is a significant endeavor" involving "disruption of business operations, loss of accustomed functionality, and increased costs." The company has built connectivity to real-time payment rails including the U.S. FedNow, UK Faster Payments, European TIPS, Australia NPP, and South Africa RPP, deepening integration dependencies that raise the cost and complexity of any competitive displacement.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.1%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.2
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA16.0
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.70bearish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.07Resistance $61.08

Price Targets

$50
$57
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACIW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 7.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $57.23 (+7.1%), stop $49.70 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACIW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.23 (+7.1% upside). Target $57.23 (+7.1%), stop $49.70 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $49.70.

What are the risks of investing in ACIW?

Thin upside margin: 7.1%.

Is ACIW overvalued or undervalued?

ACI Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.2 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACIW?

11 analysts cover ACIW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $67.

What does ACI Worldwide, Inc. do?ACI Worldwide develops and markets payment software for banks, merchants, and billers across approximately 90...

ACI Worldwide develops and markets payment software for banks, merchants, and billers across approximately 90 countries, serving nearly all of the top 10 global banks by assets and more than 80,000 merchants. Revenue comes from multi-year software licenses, SaaS/PaaS subscriptions, and professional services, with minimum contract terms of three to five years; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenue in 2025.

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