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ACIWACI Worldwide, Inc.Sell6.4·$59.19
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ACI Worldwide is a high-quality software company (Piotroski 9/9) with strong earnings growth, a 3-for-4 beat record and positive momentum, but the price is 2.7% above the analyst target and earnings are due in 4 days. It suits holding rather than adding at this price.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Growth Low Peg↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Financial Health Score→Stable
  • Mostly Positive Earnings Record↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (ACIW) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away).

ACI Worldwide develops and markets payment software for banks, merchants, and billers across approximately 90 countries, serving nearly all of the top 10 global banks by assets and more than 80,000 merchants. Revenue comes from multi-year software licenses, SaaS/PaaS... Read more

$59.19-5.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#17 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.36%
Stop $55.93Analyst target $56.10(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$66.00+11.5%4 analysts with price targets
$59.19price
$66.00mean
$56
$72

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ACI Worldwide, Inc.

About ACI Worldwide, Inc.

ACI Worldwide's ACI Payments Orchestration Platform serves more than 80,000 merchants globally — including seven of the top 10 global retailers — while bank and intermediary solutions reach customers in approximately 90 countries, encompassing nearly all of the top 10 global banks by asset size. Solutions span issuing, acquiring, real-time payments, bill presentment, and fraud management, delivered through on-premises, SaaS, or PaaS deployments with customer commitments of three to five years depending on the arrangement.

ACI earns revenue from three customer segments — banks and intermediaries, merchants, and billers — through a combination of term software licenses, SaaS/PaaS subscriptions, and professional services, with pricing tied to transaction volumes and deployment model. The merchant payments segment, anchored by the ACI Payments Orchestration Platform, competes against Adyen, Cybersource (Visa Acceptance Solutions), Fiserv, and Worldpay. Fraud management faces competition from Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO), Featurespace, Feedzai, and Forter. Bill payments is sold exclusively in the United States. Distribution relies primarily on direct sales, supplemented by distributors and referral partners in markets where direct presence is less efficient, and integration partnerships with systems integrators including Concerto, Opus Technologies, Synechron, and Cognizant.

Show full overview

ACI's bank and intermediary customers face substantial migration costs when switching payment software vendors — the 10-K notes that transitioning from one vendor to another "is a significant endeavor" involving "disruption of business operations, loss of accustomed functionality, and increased costs." The company has built connectivity to real-time payment rails including the U.S. FedNow, UK Faster Payments, European TIPS, Australia NPP, and South Africa RPP, deepening integration dependencies that raise the cost and complexity of any competitive displacement.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — ACI Worldwide, Inc.

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.1% away)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.0
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.8
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.4
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.17Resistance $59.98

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACIW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.93. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACIW stock price target?

Analyst target $56.10 reached (−5.2% from $59.19); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $55.93. Stop-loss: $55.93.

What are the risks of investing in ACIW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ACIW overvalued or undervalued?

ACI Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.0 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACIW?

12 analysts rate ACIW, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $66.

What does ACI Worldwide, Inc. do?ACI Worldwide develops and markets payment software for banks, merchants, and billers across approximately 90...

ACI Worldwide develops and markets payment software for banks, merchants, and billers across approximately 90 countries, serving nearly all of the top 10 global banks by assets and more than 80,000 merchants. Revenue comes from multi-year software licenses, SaaS/PaaS subscriptions, and professional services, with minimum contract terms of three to five years; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenue in 2025.

Related stocks: DLO (DLocal Limited) · RELY (Remitly Global, Inc.) · PICS (PicS N.V.) · PAYP (PayPay Corporation - American D) · PAY (Paymentus Holdings, Inc.)
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