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MNDYmonday.com Ltd.Sell5.9·$90.67-6.84%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

monday.com combines a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak, a Rule of 40 score of 44, and an attractively valued forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.3x, but a confirmed price downtrend and 17% short interest keep the technical picture weak in the near term.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation GrowthImproving
  • Software Moat Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak QualityDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

monday.com Ltd. (MNDY) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. At $90.67, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

monday.com Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops software applications in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company provides Work Operating System (Work OS), a cloud-based visual work OS that consists of... Read more

$90.67+7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#56 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.39%
Stop $84.70Target $98.10(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$109.00+20.2%23 analysts
$98.10our TP
$90.67price
$109.00mean
$165

Sell if holding. At $90.67, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.7%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.6
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA59.3
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth21.9%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$135+48.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $80.22Resistance $102.00

Price Targets

$85
$98
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MNDY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $90.67, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $84.70. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MNDY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $98.10 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $84.70. Stop-loss: $84.70.

What are the risks of investing in MNDY?

Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is MNDY overvalued or undervalued?

monday.com Ltd. trades at a P/E of 38.6 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MNDY?

32 analysts cover MNDY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $109.

What does monday.com Ltd. do?monday.com Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops software applications in the United States, Europe, the...

monday.com Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops software applications in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company provides Work Operating System (Work OS), a cloud-based visual work OS that consists of modular building blocks used and assembled to create software applications and work management tools. Its products include monday work management that manages workflows, projects, and portfolios for team collaboration and productivity; monday CRM, which tracks and manages various sales cycle; monday dev that builds agile product and software development workflows; monday service, which creates seamless connection between service desks and their data; WorkCanvas, a digital whiteboard; and WorkForms, which allows users to create personalized forms or surveys and gain organizational insights. The company serves organizations, educational or government institution, and distinct business unit of an organization. The company was formerly known as DaPulse Labs Ltd. and changed its name to monday.com Ltd. in December 2017. monday.com Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

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