ViaSat, Inc. (VSAT) Stock Analysis
Technology · Communication Equipment
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.13: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Viasat is a global satellite communications company operating through two segments: communication services (IFC for aviation, maritime broadband, fixed broadband, government satcom) and defense & advanced technologies (encryption, cybersecurity, tactical networking). Its fleet... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.13: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
About ViaSat, Inc.
About ViaSat, Inc.
Viasat's communication services and defense and advanced technologies segments together serve aviation, maritime, government, consumer, and enterprise customers through a fleet of 23 in-service or operational satellites spanning Ka-, L- and S-bands as of March 31, 2026. The defense segment's new awards reached $1.6 billion in fiscal year 2026, up from approximately $0.6 billion in fiscal 2018. The communication services segment served approximately 4,580 commercial aircraft with in-flight connectivity and roughly 13,200 vessels with Ka-band maritime services, while U.S. fixed broadband had approximately 130,000 subscribers at an average monthly revenue per user of $113.
Viasat generates recurring subscription and service revenue from aviation IFC agreements, maritime broadband subscriptions, and fixed broadband. The defense and advanced technologies segment earns from U.S. Government contracts for encryption systems (including HAIPE-compliant Type 1 solutions capable of operating at speeds up to 200 Gbps), cybersecurity products, the MOJO expeditionary tactical gateway product family, and small satellite development. U.S. Government revenues represent a significant percentage of total revenues, making the defense business sensitive to congressional appropriations cycles and program-level funding decisions—the 10-K notes that substantially all U.S. Government backlog can be terminated at the government's convenience with limited or no penalties. In commercial aviation, Viasat faces growing competition from Starlink LEO services and increasingly capable cellular and Wi-Fi alternatives. The 2023 Inmarsat acquisition added eight L-band satellites and the GX satellite series, expanding maritime and aviation capacity.
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U.S. Government contract concentration is the defining risk concentration across both segments. Defense new awards grew from $0.6 billion in fiscal 2018 to $1.6 billion in fiscal 2026, yet the 10-K states that programs depend on annual congressional appropriations, that agencies may operate under continuing resolutions that limit new spending initiatives, and that budget cuts could reduce funds available for resilient communications, tactical networking, and small satellite programs. Contract terminations-for-convenience—permitted under substantially all U.S. Government backlog—could reduce delivered revenue without proportionate penalties to the government.
See also: Technology · Communication Equipment
From ViaSat, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — ViaSat, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Magnite Partners With Viasat Aviation To Bring Programmatic Advertising To In-Flight Wi-Fi And Entertainment Screens Acr — benzinga Jun 17, 2026 positive
- NEWS Viasat Collaborates With TiVo To Integrate TiVo Operating System As Connected TV Platform Throughout Viasat-Delivered Se — benzinga Jun 16, 2026 positive
- NEWS Viasat Stock In Focus A Day After 18% Surge On U.S. Space Force Contract Win — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS Viasat Wins US Space Force Satellite Contract — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
- NEWS FatPipe Announces Availability Of FatPipe SATBoost To Enhance Performance Of Starlink, Viasat, Amazon LEO Satellite Conn — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:28Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues derived from the U.S. Government represent a significant percentage of our total revenues. Therefore, any significant disruption or deterioration of our relationship with the U.S. Government would significantly reduce our revenues.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-07Item 1.01LOWViasat entered into a Cooperation Agreement in connection with the appointment of two new independent directors to the Board on May 6, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOWBoard appointed Shekar Ayyar (CEO of Arrcus) and Jinhy Yoon as independent Class II and Class I directors, respectively. Board now has 10 members, 8 independent. No departures; routine additions.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.13: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $59.22. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $77.32 (+23.8% upside). Prior stop was $59.22. Stop-loss: $59.22.
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).
ViaSat, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 163.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover VSAT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $89.
What does ViaSat, Inc. do?Viasat is a global satellite communications company operating through two segments: communication services (IFC for...
Viasat is a global satellite communications company operating through two segments: communication services (IFC for aviation, maritime broadband, fixed broadband, government satcom) and defense & advanced technologies (encryption, cybersecurity, tactical networking). Its fleet of 23 in-service satellites spans Ka-, L-, and S-bands providing near-global broadband and narrowband coverage.