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ViaSat, Inc. (VSAT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.55: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.96; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Viasat is a global provider of satellite communications—broadband, narrowband, and defense—through communication services and defense/advanced technologies segments. The company operates 23 satellites and serves aviation, maritime, enterprise, consumer, military, and government... Read more

$63.55+0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#19 of 21 Communication Equipment
Stop $59.14Target $63.68(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$60.57-4.7%7 analysts
$63.68our TP
$63.55price
$60.57mean
$48
$94

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.55: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.96; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-17.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)147.6
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn-7.3%
ROE-6.4%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta1.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.96bearish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$30-52.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues derived from the U.S. Government represent a significant percentage of our total revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
0.2
Put Call
0.3
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
4.1
Beta
5.2
Short Interest
5.3
Days To Cover
5.3
Elevated put/call: 1.96High IV: 91%Above max pain $30

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
8.3

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.2
Operating Margin
1.1
Gross Margin
2.7
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.4
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.02Resistance $64.98

Price Targets

$59
$64
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-19 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VSAT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.55: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.96; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $59.14. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VSAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.68 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $59.14. Stop-loss: $59.14.

What are the risks of investing in VSAT?

Target reached (-17.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is VSAT overvalued or undervalued?

ViaSat, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 147.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VSAT?

15 analysts cover VSAT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $61.

What does ViaSat, Inc. do?Viasat is a global provider of satellite communications—broadband, narrowband, and defense—through communication...

Viasat is a global provider of satellite communications—broadband, narrowband, and defense—through communication services and defense/advanced technologies segments. The company operates 23 satellites and serves aviation, maritime, enterprise, consumer, military, and government customers. U.S. Government revenues represent a significant percentage of total revenues.

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