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ViaSat, Inc. (VSAT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-19). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.90: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Viasat is a global satellite communications company operating through two segments: communication services (IFC for aviation, maritime broadband, fixed broadband, government satcom) and defense & advanced technologies (encryption, cybersecurity, tactical networking). Its fleet... Read more

$70.90+3.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#13 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.12%
Stop $66.51Target $73.64(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$60.57-14.6%7 analysts
$73.64our TP
$70.90price
$60.57mean
$48
$94

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.90: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — ViaSat, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-26.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)239.5
Mkt Cap$9.7B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn-7.3%
ROE-6.4%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta1.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.32bullish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$37-47.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues derived from the U.S. Government represent a significant percentage of our total revenues. Therefore, any significant disruption or deterioration of our relationship with the U.S. Government would significantly reduce our revenues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 1.01LOW
    Viasat entered into a Cooperation Agreement in connection with the appointment of two new independent directors to the Board on May 6, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Shekar Ayyar (CEO of Arrcus) and Jinhy Yoon as independent Class II and Class I directors, respectively. Board now has 10 members, 8 independent. No departures; routine additions.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
1.8
Value Rank
7.9

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.2
Operating Margin
1.1
Gross Margin
2.7
Moat
3.1
Current Ratio
7.4
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9Quality concerns
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.62Resistance $75.14

Price Targets

$67
$74
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-19 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VSAT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.90: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $66.51. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VSAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $73.64 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $66.51. Stop-loss: $66.51.

What are the risks of investing in VSAT?

Target reached (-26.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is VSAT overvalued or undervalued?

ViaSat, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 239.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VSAT?

15 analysts cover VSAT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $61.

What does ViaSat, Inc. do?Viasat is a global satellite communications company operating through two segments: communication services (IFC for...

Viasat is a global satellite communications company operating through two segments: communication services (IFC for aviation, maritime broadband, fixed broadband, government satcom) and defense & advanced technologies (encryption, cybersecurity, tactical networking). Its fleet of 23 in-service satellites spans Ka-, L-, and S-bands providing near-global broadband and narrowband coverage.

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