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ZBRAZebra Technologies CorporationHold6.2·$377.51
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zebra Technologies combines a strong earnings beat record and attractive valuation at 11.6x forward earnings with exceptional free cash flow conversion, but a confirmed death-cross technical breakdown with a -4.7% monthly moving average slope and elevated short interest create meaningful near-term downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Valuation↓Deteriorating
  • Death Cross Downtrend Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $377.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through... Read more

$377.51-1.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#5 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.21%
Stop $358.15Target $434.14(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$414.85+9.9%15 analysts
$434.14our TP
$377.51price
$414.85mean
$350
$460

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $377.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.6
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$18.0B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth20.4%
Beta1.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$260-31.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer A29%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer A| 29 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer B15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer B| 15 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer C15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer C| 15 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting held May 19, 2026, Zebra Technologies stockholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan (2026 LTIP). Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or board election disclosed in available body text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $342.07Resistance $390.80

Price Targets

$358
$434
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZBRA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $377.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $434.14 (+15.0%), stop $358.15 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZBRA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $434.14 (-1.1% upside). Target $434.14 (+15.0%), stop $358.15 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $358.15.

What are the risks of investing in ZBRA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ZBRA overvalued or undervalued?

Zebra Technologies Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.6 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ZBRA?

25 analysts cover ZBRA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $415.

What does Zebra Technologies Corporation do?Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers,...

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through more than 10,000 channel partners. Three distributor customers each exceeded 10% of net sales in 2025 (Customer A at 29%, B and C each at 15%), employing approximately 10,700 people across 129 facilities.

Related stocks: HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp) · UI (Ubiquiti Inc.) · DGII (Digi International Inc.) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) · CIEN (Ciena Corporation)
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