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ZBRAZebra Technologies CorporationBuy Wait5.6·$264.65-2.09%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zebra Technologies combines a strong earnings beat record and attractive valuation at 11.6x forward earnings with exceptional free cash flow conversion, but a confirmed death-cross technical breakdown with a -4.7% monthly moving average slope and elevated short interest create meaningful near-term downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ValuationStable
  • Death Cross Downtrend MomentumStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Wait for pullback to $253.86. At $264.65 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $253.86 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through... Read more

$264.65+17.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.39%
Entry $253.86(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $233.27Target $297.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$330.65+24.9%17 analysts
$297.58our TP
$264.65price
$330.65mean
$400

Wait for pullback to $253.86. At $264.65 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $253.86 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.3
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$12.7B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$165-37.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer A29%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer A| 29 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer B15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer B| 15 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer C15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer C| 15 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting held May 19, 2026, Zebra Technologies stockholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan (2026 LTIP). Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or board election disclosed in available body text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.8
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $211.86Resistance $276.00

Price Targets

$233
$254
$298
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZBRA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $253.86. At $264.65 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $253.86 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $297.58 (+12.4%), stop $233.27 (−13.5%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZBRA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $297.58 (+17.0% upside). Target $297.58 (+12.4%), stop $233.27 (−13.5%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $233.27.

Is ZBRA overvalued or undervalued?

Zebra Technologies Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.3 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ZBRA?

26 analysts cover ZBRA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $331.

What does Zebra Technologies Corporation do?Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers,...

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through more than 10,000 channel partners. Three distributor customers each exceeded 10% of net sales in 2025 (Customer A at 29%, B and C each at 15%), employing approximately 10,700 people across 129 facilities.

Related stocks: VISN (Vistance Networks, Inc.) · HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp) · UI (Ubiquiti Inc.) · CIEN (Ciena Corporation) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.)
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