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ZBRAZebra Technologies CorporationHold6.5·$332.44
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zebra Technologies combines a strong earnings beat record and attractive valuation at 11.6x forward earnings with exceptional free cash flow conversion, but a confirmed death-cross technical breakdown with a -4.7% monthly moving average slope and elevated short interest create meaningful near-term downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Valuation↑Improving
  • Death Cross Downtrend Momentum↑Improving
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $332.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through... Read more

$332.44+13.0% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.66%
Stop $309.17Analyst target $375.53(−10% haircut)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst consensus$417.25+25.5%15 analysts with price targets
$375.53Analyst target
$332.44price
$417.25mean
$460

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $332.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Zebra Technologies Corporation

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.9
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$15.7B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE16.5%
Rev Growth22.3%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.46bearish
IV50%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer A29%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer A| 29 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer B15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer B| 15 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer C15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer C| 15 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting held May 19, 2026, Zebra Technologies stockholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan (2026 LTIP). Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or board election disclosed in available body text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $311.07Resistance $392.78

Price Targets

$309
$376
A.Upside+13.0%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZBRA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $332.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $375.53 (+13.0%), stop $309.17 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZBRA stock price target?

Analyst target: $375.53 (+13.0% upside). Analyst target $375.53 (+13.0%), stop $309.17 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $309.17.

What are the risks of investing in ZBRA?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ZBRA overvalued or undervalued?

Zebra Technologies Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.9 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ZBRA?

23 analysts rate ZBRA, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 15 analysts publish price targets averaging $417.

What does Zebra Technologies Corporation do?Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers,...

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through more than 10,000 channel partners. Three distributor customers each exceeded 10% of net sales in 2025 (Customer A at 29%, B and C each at 15%), employing approximately 10,700 people across 129 facilities.

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