Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp (HPE) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HPE stock price target?

Take-profit $29.04 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $26.37.

Q: What are the risks of investing in HPE?

Target reached (-15.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0); Target reached (-15.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Q: Is HPE overvalued or undervalued?

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HPE?

26 analysts cover HPE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $27.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hewlett Packard Enterprise develops enterprise IT solutions across Server, Hybrid Cloud, Networking (including Juniper Networks, acquired July 2025), and Financial Services segments for global enterprise and government customers. Revenue comes from hardware sales, cloud... Read more

$28.40+2.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#15 of 21 Communication Equipment

Stop $26.37Target $29.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1

Analyst target$26.75-5.8%19 analysts

$29.04our TP

$28.40price

$26.75mean

$21

$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.40: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-15.1% upside)

Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)10.4

Mkt Cap$37.5B

EV/EBITDA11.1

Profit Mgn-0.3%

ROE-0.5%

Rev Growth18.4%

Beta1.22

Dividend2.01%

Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.76neutral

IV59%elevated

Max Pain$16-43.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMSuppliersingle-source suppliers
10-K Item 1A: 'We obtain certain components from single-source suppliers due to technology, availability, price, quality, scale, or customization needs.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-03Item 5.02LOW
Shareholders approved Amendment No. 5 to 2021 Stock Incentive Plan at 2026 Annual Meeting, adding 22 million shares; Board had approved Feb 5, 2026 subject to shareholder vote.
SEC filing →
2026-02-06Item 5.02LOW
Director Raymond E. Ozzie notified Board he does not intend to seek re-election at 2026 Annual Meeting. Term will end at the annual meeting. No disagreement cited.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.015%1.05

Quality2.715%0.41

Growth3.515%0.53

Momentum6.310%0.63

Sentiment5.210%0.52

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.610%0.46

Technical Setup4.55%0.23

Risk Profile5.55%0.28

Catalyst5.85%0.29

Overall (Σ contributions)4.76

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Roa

1.1

Gross Margin

2.4

Operating Margin

3.1

Current Ratio

4.1

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

5.6

No competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth

0.0

Revenue Growth

7.1

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

74 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.54Resistance $29.63

Price Targets

$26

$29

A.Upside+2.3%

A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.1% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-06-02 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HPE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.40: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $26.37. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HPE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.04 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $26.37. Stop-loss: $26.37.

What are the risks of investing in HPE?

Target reached (-15.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is HPE overvalued or undervalued?

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HPE?

26 analysts cover HPE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp do?Hewlett Packard Enterprise develops enterprise IT solutions across Server, Hybrid Cloud, Networking (including Juniper...