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Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Wait for pullback to $925.62. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $980.10. Engine's entry $925.62 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Ubiquiti designs and sells networking equipment (enterprise WLAN, surveillance, VoIP, fixed wireless) through 100+ distributors and direct webstores in 200+ countries. FY2025 revenues were $2.6B with net income of $711.9M; products target service providers, enterprises, and... Read more

$980.10+16.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 21 Communication Equipment
Entry $925.62(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $815.12Target $1077.99(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1Setup A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$753.50-23.1%2 analysts
$1077.99our TP
$980.10price
$753.50mean
$527
$1078

Wait for pullback to $925.62. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $980.10. Engine's entry $925.62 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.72, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)66.2
P/E (Fwd)51.3
Mkt Cap$58.8B
EV/EBITDA55.1
Profit Mgn29.9%
ROE136.1%
Rev Growth35.8%
Beta1.32
Dividend0.33%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of distributors
    10-K Item 1A: 'a limited number of these distributors represent a significant portion of our sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Pe
1.7
Forward Pe
2.3
Peg Ratio
8.7
Forward P/E: 51.3xPEG: 0.72
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $790.00Resistance $1099.99

Price Targets

$815
$926
$1078
A.Upside+10.0%
A.R:R-2.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-34.0% upside)
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $925.62. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $980.10. Engine's entry $925.62 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.72, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $1077.99 (+10.0%), stop $815.12 (−20.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1077.99 (+16.9% upside). Target $1077.99 (+10.0%), stop $815.12 (−20.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $815.12.

What are the risks of investing in UI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is UI overvalued or undervalued?

Ubiquiti Inc. trades at a P/E of 66.2 (forward 51.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about UI?

11 analysts cover UI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $754.

What does Ubiquiti Inc. do?Ubiquiti designs and sells networking equipment (enterprise WLAN, surveillance, VoIP, fixed wireless) through 100+...

Ubiquiti designs and sells networking equipment (enterprise WLAN, surveillance, VoIP, fixed wireless) through 100+ distributors and direct webstores in 200+ countries. FY2025 revenues were $2.6B with net income of $711.9M; products target service providers, enterprises, and consumers. Revenue is concentrated among a limited number of distributors.

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