Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co (VAC) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vacation Ownership segment (95.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide is a leading global vacation ownership company with 120 resorts and ~700,000 owner families, plus the Interval International exchange network of 3,200+ affiliated resorts with 1.5M members. Revenue of ~$5.0B in 2025 is 95% from the Vacation Ownership... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vacation Ownership segment (95.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co
Latest news
- Will Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) beat estimates again in its next earnings report? - MSN — MSN positive
- Will Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- Short Interest in Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) Decreases By 21.8% - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Marriott Vacations downgraded by Morgan Stanley with a new price target - Quantisnow — Quantisnow negative
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductVacation Ownership segment95%10-K Item 1: 'The Vacation Ownership segment represented 95% of our consolidated revenue for 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUMJames H. Hunter IV (EVP, General Counsel and Secretary) resigned at the Company's request, effective March 9, 2026 with employment ending April 1, 2026. Severance of $1.5M (1.5x base salary plus target bonus). No successor named.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-17Item 5.02LOWOn Feb 16, 2026, Matthew E. Avril (interim President/CEO since Nov 2025) was confirmed as CEO, effective immediately. Michael A. Flaskey was also appointed President and Chief Operating Officer effective Feb 16, 2026. No reason cited for prior CEO exit.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vacation Ownership segment (95.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $73.34 (+3.5%), stop $65.92 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $73.34 (+3.5% upside). Target $73.34 (+3.5%), stop $65.92 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $65.92.
Concentration risk — Product: Vacation Ownership segment (95.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
15 analysts cover VAC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $84.
What does Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co do?Marriott Vacations Worldwide is a leading global vacation ownership company with 120 resorts and ~700,000 owner...
Marriott Vacations Worldwide is a leading global vacation ownership company with 120 resorts and ~700,000 owner families, plus the Interval International exchange network of 3,200+ affiliated resorts with 1.5M members. Revenue of ~$5.0B in 2025 is 95% from the Vacation Ownership segment (VOI sales, resort management, rental, financing); Exchange & Third-Party Management provides the remaining 4%.