Skip to main content

PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.68: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality.

PENN Entertainment operates 42 gaming properties across 19 U.S. states in five retail segments plus an Interactive segment with OSB in 22 jurisdictions and iCasino. Revenue comes from slot machines, table games, hotel, food/beverage, and digital gaming fees; post-ESPN split,... Read more

$17.68+3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
Stop $16.41Target $18.20(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$20.22+14.4%18 analysts
$18.20our TP
$17.68price
$20.22mean
$16
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.68: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.4% YoY), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA16.5
Profit Mgn-13.5%
ROE
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$7-60.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicOhio, Louisiana, Missouri, Pennsylvania
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 13.4%, 11.8%, 9.2%, and 8.4% of our revenues from our retail properties within the states of Ohio, Louisiana, Missouri, and Pennsylvania respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 1.01MEDIUM
    PENN entered Cooperation Agreement with HG Vora on February 22, 2026, providing for appointment of three new directors (Ace, Fox, Schiavolin), mutual standstill restrictions, and non-disparagement. Related litigation dismissed with prejudice.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-23Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Heather Ace (Class II), Jeffrey Fox (Class II), and Fabio Schiavolin (Class III) as directors per Cooperation Agreement with HG Vora. No reason cited for prior vacancies.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.5
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
7.1

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.2
Gross Margin
2.9
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
7.8
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.16Resistance $18.25

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.4% YoY), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap)
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PENN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.68: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $16.41. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PENN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.20 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.41. Stop-loss: $16.41.

What are the risks of investing in PENN?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-12.4% YoY), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.11% of cap).

Is PENN overvalued or undervalued?

PENN Entertainment, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PENN?

26 analysts cover PENN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $20.

What does PENN Entertainment, Inc. do?PENN Entertainment operates 42 gaming properties across 19 U.S. states in five retail segments plus an Interactive...

PENN Entertainment operates 42 gaming properties across 19 U.S. states in five retail segments plus an Interactive segment with OSB in 22 jurisdictions and iCasino. Revenue comes from slot machines, table games, hotel, food/beverage, and digital gaming fees; post-ESPN split, digital was rebranded to theScore Bet leveraging the theScore media app with ~4 million monthly active North American users.

Related stocks: MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · MGM (MGM Resorts International) · VAC (Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co)