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PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.20: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality.

PENN Entertainment operates 42 gaming properties across 19 U.S. states in five retail segments plus an Interactive segment with OSB in 22 jurisdictions and iCasino. Revenue comes from slot machines, table games, hotel, food/beverage, and digital gaming fees; post-ESPN split,... Read more

$16.20+12.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#9 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-10.31%
Stop $15.07Target $18.25(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$20.28+25.2%18 analysts
$18.25our TP
$16.20price
$20.28mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.20: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — PENN Entertainment, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA16.0
Profit Mgn-13.5%
ROE-40.1%
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta1.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicOhio, Louisiana, Missouri, Pennsylvania
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 13.4%, 11.8%, 9.2%, and 8.4% of our revenues from our retail properties within the states of Ohio, Louisiana, Missouri, and Pennsylvania respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 1.01MEDIUM
    PENN entered Cooperation Agreement with HG Vora on February 22, 2026, providing for appointment of three new directors (Ace, Fox, Schiavolin), mutual standstill restrictions, and non-disparagement. Related litigation dismissed with prejudice.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-23Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Heather Ace (Class II), Jeffrey Fox (Class II), and Fabio Schiavolin (Class III) as directors per Cooperation Agreement with HG Vora. No reason cited for prior vacancies.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.9
Operating Margin
2.2
Gross Margin
2.9
Current Ratio
3.3
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.64Resistance $18.25

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PENN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.20: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.07. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PENN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.25 (+12.7% upside). Prior stop was $15.07. Stop-loss: $15.07.

What are the risks of investing in PENN?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is PENN overvalued or undervalued?

PENN Entertainment, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PENN?

27 analysts cover PENN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $20.

What does PENN Entertainment, Inc. do?PENN Entertainment operates 42 gaming properties across 19 U.S. states in five retail segments plus an Interactive...

PENN Entertainment operates 42 gaming properties across 19 U.S. states in five retail segments plus an Interactive segment with OSB in 22 jurisdictions and iCasino. Revenue comes from slot machines, table games, hotel, food/beverage, and digital gaming fees; post-ESPN split, digital was rebranded to theScore Bet leveraging the theScore media app with ~4 million monthly active North American users.

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