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WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedSell5.9·$81.12
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wynn Resorts has delivered strong revenue growth with a Piotroski score of 8/9 and carries 28% analyst upside potential, but has missed earnings estimates in all four of the last quarters by an average of nearly 14%, is trading below its 200-day moving average in a confirmed death cross, and carries an elevated put/call ratio of 2.25 — creating a high-uncertainty setup despite the growth profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Put Call Bearish Positioning↑Improving
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss Streak↑Improving
  • Analyst Upside Vs Death Cross→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $81.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options,... Read more

$81.12+46.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 13 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.77%
IncomeYield1.23%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout23.98%sustainable
Stop $76.28Target $118.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 7.8:1
Analyst target$132.00+62.7%20 analysts
$118.80our TP
$81.12price
$132.00mean
$144

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $81.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 46%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.23%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.24bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS LEGALA.R:R 7.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
19 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $77.06Resistance $96.17

Price Targets

$76
$119
A.Upside+46.5%
A.R:R7.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WYNN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $81.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $76.28. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WYNN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $118.80 (+46.5% upside). Prior stop was $76.28. Stop-loss: $76.28.

What are the risks of investing in WYNN?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is WYNN overvalued or undervalued?

Wynn Resorts, Limited trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WYNN?

28 analysts cover WYNN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $132.

What does Wynn Resorts, Limited do?Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a...

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options, meeting and convention facilities, and gaming, all supported by an unparalleled focus on our guests, our people, and our community.

Related stocks: MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · PENN (PENN Entertainment, Inc.) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation)
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