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WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedSell6.0·$91.50-0.07%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wynn Resorts has delivered strong revenue growth with a Piotroski score of 8/9 and carries 28% analyst upside potential, but has missed earnings estimates in all four of the last quarters by an average of nearly 14%, is trading below its 200-day moving average in a confirmed death cross, and carries an elevated put/call ratio of 2.25 — creating a high-uncertainty setup despite the growth profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Put Call Bearish PositioningStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • Analyst Upside Vs Death CrossStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $91.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options,... Read more

$91.50+30.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 13 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.05%
IncomeYield1.09%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout23.98%sustainable
Stop $86.76Target $119.12(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$132.35+44.7%20 analysts
$119.12our TP
$91.50price
$132.35mean
$145

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $91.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.0
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$9.4B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.09%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$80-12.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.44Resistance $106.06

Price Targets

$87
$119
A.Upside+30.1%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WYNN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $91.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $86.76. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WYNN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.12 (+30.1% upside). Prior stop was $86.76. Stop-loss: $86.76.

What are the risks of investing in WYNN?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is WYNN overvalued or undervalued?

Wynn Resorts, Limited trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WYNN?

28 analysts cover WYNN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $132.

What does Wynn Resorts, Limited do?Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a...

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options, meeting and convention facilities, and gaming, all supported by an unparalleled focus on our guests, our people, and our community.

Related stocks: MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · PENN (PENN Entertainment, Inc.) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation)
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