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WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedSell5.9·$102.22-0.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wynn Resorts has delivered strong revenue growth with a Piotroski score of 8/9 and carries 28% analyst upside potential, but has missed earnings estimates in all four of the last quarters by an average of nearly 14%, is trading below its 200-day moving average in a confirmed death cross, and carries an elevated put/call ratio of 2.25 — creating a high-uncertainty setup despite the growth profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Put Call Bearish PositioningImproving
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakDeteriorating
  • Analyst Upside Vs Death CrossDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $102.22: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options,... Read more

$102.22+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 13 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.51%
IncomeYield0.98%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout23.98%sustainable
Stop $96.39Target $119.33(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$132.58+29.7%19 analysts
$119.33our TP
$102.22price
$132.58mean
$145

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $102.22: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.6
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta1.00
Dividend0.98%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.4
Support Resistance
3.9
52w Position
5.3
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $92.29Resistance $108.97

Price Targets

$96
$119
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WYNN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $102.22: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $96.39. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WYNN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.33 (+16.4% upside). Prior stop was $96.39. Stop-loss: $96.39.

What are the risks of investing in WYNN?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is WYNN overvalued or undervalued?

Wynn Resorts, Limited trades at a P/E of 24.6 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WYNN?

28 analysts cover WYNN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $133.

What does Wynn Resorts, Limited do?Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a...

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options, meeting and convention facilities, and gaming, all supported by an unparalleled focus on our guests, our people, and our community.

Related stocks: MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · PENN (PENN Entertainment, Inc.) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L)
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