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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options,... Read more

$95.59+28.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.60%
IncomeYield1.05%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout28.65%sustainable
Stop $91.06Target $122.55(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$136.17+42.4%18 analysts
$122.55our TP
$95.59price
$136.17mean
$150

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Wynn Resorts, Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 28%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$9.9B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta1.01
Dividend1.05%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$130+36.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 105.0%
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $93.88Resistance $109.71

Price Targets

$91
$123
A.Upside+28.2%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WYNN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $91.06. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WYNN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $122.55 (+28.3% upside). Prior stop was $91.06. Stop-loss: $91.06.

What are the risks of investing in WYNN?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Negative momentum.

Is WYNN overvalued or undervalued?

Wynn Resorts, Limited trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WYNN?

27 analysts cover WYNN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $136.

What does Wynn Resorts, Limited do?Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a...

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options, meeting and convention facilities, and gaming, all supported by an unparalleled focus on our guests, our people, and our community.

Related stocks: LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.)