Skip to main content

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%).

Red Rock Resorts operates through Station Casinos LLC, which owns 7 major gaming facilities and 13 smaller casinos throughout the Las Vegas valley, serving primarily Las Vegas residents. Revenue is predominantly from gaming (~80% of casino revenue from slot play) and non-gaming... Read more

$51.59+17.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.19%
IncomeYield2.00%Payout32.90%sustainable
Stop $49.31Target $60.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$67.31+30.5%16 analysts
$60.58our TP
$51.59price
$67.31mean
$77

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Red Rock Resorts, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market
Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.8
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE114.2%
Rev Growth1.9%
Beta1.35
Dividend2.00%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.56bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLas Vegas regional market
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our casino properties are dependent upon attracting Las Vegas residents as well as out of town visitors. As a result of our concentration in the Las Vegas regional market'
  • HIGHProductslot play80%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 80% of our casino revenue is generated from slot play'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.4
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.84Resistance $57.06

Price Targets

$49
$61
A.Upside+17.4%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.59 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $49.31. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the RRR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.58 (+17.4% upside). Prior stop was $49.31. Stop-loss: $49.31.

What are the risks of investing in RRR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Las Vegas regional market; Concentration risk — Product: slot play (80.0%); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is RRR overvalued or undervalued?

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RRR?

20 analysts cover RRR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Red Rock Resorts, Inc. do?Red Rock Resorts operates through Station Casinos LLC, which owns 7 major gaming facilities and 13 smaller casinos...

Red Rock Resorts operates through Station Casinos LLC, which owns 7 major gaming facilities and 13 smaller casinos throughout the Las Vegas valley, serving primarily Las Vegas residents. Revenue is predominantly from gaming (~80% of casino revenue from slot play) and non-gaming amenities (restaurants, hotels, entertainment).

Related stocks: LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) · CZR (Caesars Entertainment, Inc.)