Value
3.8/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.5 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 3.4 |
| PEG | 6.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 32.9x
- ▸PEG: 1.12
UI · Why this verdict
Why Ubiquiti (UI) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 5.2 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.4 |
| FCF quality | 4.5 |
| Moat | 6.8 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 115%
- ▸Strong margins: 30%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 58% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
7.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.2 |
| EPS growth | 7.9 |
Momentum
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 0.6 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+7.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 46%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $340,265 (0.001% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.9 |
| quality rank | 9.5 |
| growth rank | 4.7 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.1 |
| support resistance | 9.8 |
| 52w position | 0.3 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.9 |
| days to cover | 7.4 |
| volatility | 0.4 |
| beta | 5.8 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 56.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.12, quality 8.2/10, growth 7.6/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:75d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
2.46
Upside
+23.8%
Downside
9.6%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.2 and growth 7.6 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 2.46 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.2, Growth at 7.6, and Sentiment at 6.4; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.7, Value at 3.8, and Peer rank at 4.5. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.46 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.