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TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.Sell4.9·$288.29-3.53%
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Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $288.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Tyler Technologies provides integrated software and SaaS solutions exclusively to U.S. public sector agencies (local, state, federal governments, courts, K-12 schools), covering ERP, property/tax, public safety, payments, and digital citizen services. Recurring revenues... Read more

$288.29+38.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#91 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.43%
Stop $277.28Target $399.13(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$443.48+53.8%21 analysts
$399.13our TP
$288.29price
$443.48mean
$650

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $288.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tyler Technologies, Inc.

About Tyler Technologies, Inc.

Tyler Technologies generated $2.0 billion in recurring revenue in 2025, representing 87% of total revenues, while annualized recurring revenue (ARR) reached $2.06 billion at December 31, 2025 — an approximately 11% increase year-over-year. Subscription-based revenues alone climbed from $784.4 million in 2021 to $1.6 billion in 2025, driven by a sustained shift toward SaaS delivery. The company serves public sector clients across all 50 states, including dedicated enterprise contracts in 30 states, and employed approximately 7,800 team members at December 31, 2025.

Tyler's revenues flow from three streams: subscription-based services (SaaS arrangements and transaction-based fees from the payments platform, which processes nearly half a billion transactions annually, plus digital government and e-filing services), maintenance and support for on-premises clients billed as a percentage of license fees and renewed annually, and professional services for implementation, training, and data conversion billed hourly or on a fixed-fee basis. Software licenses and hardware represented only 2.5% and 3.2% of total revenues in 2025 and 2024, respectively, confirming the recurring-revenue pivot is structurally advanced. SaaS contracts typically span one to three years and include fee escalators on renewal; on-premises clients historically renew at roughly 98% annually. AWS provides the primary cloud infrastructure under a strategic collaboration agreement; Tyler acknowledges that switching providers would require significant cost and potential service interruption, making the relationship a material operational dependency. Named competitors include Oracle Corporation, SAP AG, Infor, Workday, Motorola Solutions, Axon Enterprise, and Constellation Software.

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Tyler's public sector client base creates structural budget dependency: revenues derived substantially from government entities are subject to termination clauses tied to lack of future appropriations, open bidding requirements, and political factors including changes in governmental administrations. In May 2026, the company disclosed via Form 8-K an Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing a $1 billion unsecured revolving facility with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, maturing May 28, 2031 — expanding capacity above the prior $700 million line and extending tenor ahead of the 2029 scheduled maturity. The expanded facility provides financial flexibility for acquisitions and ongoing migration of legacy on-premises clients to cloud SaaS arrangements.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Tyler Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Tyler Technologies, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 29, 2026 MEDIUM Item 1.02: Tyler Technologies terminated its existing $700 million unsecured credit agreement dated September 25, 2024 with Wells Fargo Bank as Administrative Agent, replaced by the new $1 billion facility maturing May 28, 2031.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Analyst upside: 38%
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.3
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$12.3B
EV/EBITDA27.1
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.18bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$195-32.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.4
Revenue Growth
4.6
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $285.86Resistance $331.54

Price Targets

$277
$399
A.Upside+38.4%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TYL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $288.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $277.28. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TYL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $399.13 (+38.5% upside). Prior stop was $277.28. Stop-loss: $277.28.

What are the risks of investing in TYL?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is TYL overvalued or undervalued?

Tyler Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.3 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TYL?

27 analysts cover TYL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $443.

What does Tyler Technologies, Inc. do?Tyler Technologies provides integrated software and SaaS solutions exclusively to U.S. public sector agencies (local,...

Tyler Technologies provides integrated software and SaaS solutions exclusively to U.S. public sector agencies (local, state, federal governments, courts, K-12 schools), covering ERP, property/tax, public safety, payments, and digital citizen services. Recurring revenues (subscriptions + maintenance) were $2.0B or 87% of total 2025 revenues; ARR reached $2.06B as clients shift toward cloud deployment.

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