Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. At $353.93, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: state, county, and city governments; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.
Tyler Technologies is the leading provider of integrated software and services for U.S. public sector entities including cities, counties, states, courts, and schools. Revenue is derived substantially all from government clients through recurring SaaS subscriptions and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $353.93, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: state, county, and city governments; Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerstate, county, and city governments10-K Item 1A: 'We derive substantially all of our revenues from sales of software and services to state, county, and city governments, other federal or municipal agencies'
- MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services (AWS)10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on third-party providers—including Amazon Web Services (AWS)—for hosting services and other technology-related services needed to deliver certain of our cloud solutions'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $353.93, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: state, county, and city governments; Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $329.12. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $394.84 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $329.12. Stop-loss: $329.12.
Concentration risk — Customer: state, county, and city governments; Weak overall score: 4.7/10; Weak growth.
Tyler Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.2 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover TYL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $439.
What does Tyler Technologies, Inc. do?Tyler Technologies is the leading provider of integrated software and services for U.S. public sector entities...
Tyler Technologies is the leading provider of integrated software and services for U.S. public sector entities including cities, counties, states, courts, and schools. Revenue is derived substantially all from government clients through recurring SaaS subscriptions and on-premises maintenance contracts for mission-critical back-office systems.