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Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $54.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Trimble is a global technology platform company with AECO (construction software), Field Systems (surveying, civil construction, positioning), and Transportation & Logistics segments, serving customers in 160+ countries. Revenue is increasingly subscription-based (SaaS) via its... Read more

$54.71+39.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.89%
Stop $52.59Target $75.98(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$87.33+59.6%12 analysts
$75.98our TP
$54.71price
$87.33mean
$103

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $54.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 17, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.2Qual5.8Grw7.7Mom2.4Sent7.9Ins5.0Peer3.8Tech7.0Risk5.35.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Trimble Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.8
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE8.3%
Rev Growth11.8%
Beta1.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C2.42bearish
IV48%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Peter Large, SVP Strategy, Corporate Development, and Technology Innovation, announced retirement from Trimble effective late May 2026. Decision not the result of any disagreement. No severance; departure qualifies under company's Age & Service Equity Vesting Program.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.2
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
5.0
Value Rank
6.8
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
17 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $54.22Resistance $70.04

Price Targets

$53
$76
A.Upside+38.9%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $54.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 17, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $52.59. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.98 (+39.3% upside). Prior stop was $52.59. Stop-loss: $52.59.

What are the risks of investing in TRMB?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TRMB overvalued or undervalued?

Trimble Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.8 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRMB?

21 analysts cover TRMB with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Trimble Inc. do?Trimble is a global technology platform company with AECO (construction software), Field Systems (surveying, civil...

Trimble is a global technology platform company with AECO (construction software), Field Systems (surveying, civil construction, positioning), and Transportation & Logistics segments, serving customers in 160+ countries. Revenue is increasingly subscription-based (SaaS) via its Connect & Scale platform strategy; the company sold its Mobility telematics business to Platform Science in February 2025. Products are sold through direct, dealer, and digital channels including joint ventures with Caterpillar, AGCO, Hilti, and Nikon.

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