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Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $67.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Trimble provides technology solutions connecting physical and digital worlds for construction, geospatial, transportation, and natural resources industries, including GNSS hardware, software platforms (Trimble Connect), and cloud subscriptions. Recently divested precision... Read more

$67.22+17.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
Stop $63.79Target $78.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$90.58+34.8%12 analysts
$78.81our TP
$67.22price
$90.58mean
$103

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $67.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.7
P/E (Fwd)16.4
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA20.6
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth-1.4%
Beta1.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$50-25.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliersole source of certain materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are also dependent on a number of suppliers as the sole source of certain materials'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Peter Large (SVP Strategy, Corporate Development, and Office of Technology Innovation) announced retirement effective late May 2026. Retirement qualifies under Age & Service Equity Vesting Program. No disagreement with Company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
3.2
Value Rank
6.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.2
Rsi
3.8
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.46Resistance $70.80

Price Targets

$64
$79
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $67.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $63.79. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.81 (+17.2% upside). Prior stop was $63.79. Stop-loss: $63.79.

What are the risks of investing in TRMB?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TRMB overvalued or undervalued?

Trimble Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRMB?

21 analysts cover TRMB with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Trimble Inc. do?Trimble provides technology solutions connecting physical and digital worlds for construction, geospatial,...

Trimble provides technology solutions connecting physical and digital worlds for construction, geospatial, transportation, and natural resources industries, including GNSS hardware, software platforms (Trimble Connect), and cloud subscriptions. Recently divested precision agriculture (AGCO JV) and Mobility (Platform Science) businesses.

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