Coherent Corp. (COHR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $358.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: two customers each >10% of revenue.
Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated manufacturer of lasers, transceivers, and photonic devices for communications, industrial, and electronics markets, with ~30,000 employees and production in 12+ countries. Revenue is generated across Networking (AI/datacenter... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $358.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: two customers each >10% of revenue. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Coherent Corp.
Latest news
- Coherent soars 112% in 6 months: Buy, sell or hold the stock? - MSN — MSN positive
- Is COHERENT CORP (COHR) Stock Outpacing Its Business Services Peers This Year? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- Is There Longevity in Coherent's AI-Backed Growth Strategy? - qz.com — qz.com positive
- Coherent Corp (COHR) Stock Price Up 6.59% on Apr 8 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- Institutions See Clear Value in Coherent - FXEmpire — FXEmpire positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertwo customers each >10% of revenue10-K Item 1: 'We had two customers who each contributed more than 10% of revenue during fiscal 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOWGiovanni Barbarossa, Chief Strategy Officer, notified Coherent on April 27, 2026 of his transition from that role (effective immediately) and planned retirement in September 2026. Will serve as Special Advisor to CEO through retirement date.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $358.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: two customers each >10% of revenue. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $333.41. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $404.74 (+12.9% upside). Prior stop was $333.41. Stop-loss: $333.41.
Concentration risk — Customer: two customers each >10% of revenue; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).
Coherent Corp. trades at a P/E of 169.2 (forward 43.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover COHR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $381.
What does Coherent Corp. do?Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated manufacturer of lasers, transceivers, and photonic devices for...
Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated manufacturer of lasers, transceivers, and photonic devices for communications, industrial, and electronics markets, with ~30,000 employees and production in 12+ countries. Revenue is generated across Networking (AI/datacenter transceivers), Materials, and Lasers segments; two customers each contributed more than 10% of total revenues in fiscal 2025.