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KEYSKeysight Technologies Inc.Buy Wait6.5·$305.11
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Keysight Technologies is a high-quality business with a wide economic moat, strong margins, and 32% revenue growth, but the stock is trading above its near-term price target with negative effective upside, making the current setup unattractive despite the underlying franchise's merits.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth Acceleration→Stable
  • Wide Moat Franchise Quality→Stable
  • Valuation Stretch Above Target↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Dec 17, 2025· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Keysight Technologies Inc. (KEYS) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Wait for pullback to $289.85. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $305.11. Engine's entry $289.85 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Keysight Technologies develops electronic test and measurement hardware, software, and services for communications, aerospace/defense, semiconductor, and industrial customers globally across two segments. The company generated $5.4 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025, primarily... Read more

$305.11+19.7% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.59%
Entry $289.85(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $269.56Target $365.11(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst consensus$419.67+37.5%12 analysts with price targets
$365.11our TP
$305.11price
$419.67mean
$487

Wait for pullback to $289.85. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $305.11. Engine's entry $289.85 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.59, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Keysight Technologies Inc.

About Keysight Technologies Inc.

Keysight Technologies generated $5.4 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025, serving customers across more than 100 countries through two segments: the Communications Solutions Group, covering wireless, wireline data center, and aerospace/defense markets, and the Electronic Industrial Solutions Group, covering automotive, semiconductor, and general electronics. The company invested $1,007 million in R&D that year and, in October 2025, acquired Spirent Communications alongside two EDA software businesses from Synopsys and Ansys.

Keysight's revenue derives from hardware instruments — signal analyzers, network analyzers, oscilloscopes, and power analyzers — bundled with software applications and services including calibration, repair, and engineering consulting via Keysight Global Services. The primary demand driver is R&D-phase engineering: new standards cycles including 5G, 6G, 800Gb/s Ethernet, commercial satellite, and AI data center interconnect require continuous tool refresh as chipmakers, network equipment manufacturers, and defense contractors validate designs. The company operates an in-house semiconductor fab and proprietary packaging centers; software engineering now constitutes the majority of R&D headcount, reflecting a push toward recurring subscription and license revenue. No single customer accounts for more than 10% of revenue, and the channel mix combines a direct global sales force with indirect partners and e-commerce.

Show full overview

Export controls and China tariffs both appear in the 10-K as named operational risks. Some customers and suppliers have been added to the U.S. Department of Commerce's "Lists of Parties of Concern," forcing suspension of those relationships, and the filing notes certain counterparties develop unique solutions that may be irreplaceable on short notice. Tariff escalation on Chinese imports began in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, affecting customers and suppliers with China ties. Accounting operations are also centralized in India and Malaysia, adding geographic operational dependency.

See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

From Keysight Technologies Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Keysight Technologies Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.5
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$51.9B
EV/EBITDA30.7
Profit Mgn19.1%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth36.5%
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$175-42.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'revenue from international operations will continue to represent a majority of our total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    John Page, SVP Global Services, announced retirement effective by Oct 31, 2026 on March 12, 2026. Personal reasons cited; no disagreement with Company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+7.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $298.52Resistance $385.97

Price Targets

$270
$290
$365
A.Upside+19.7%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEYS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $289.85. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $305.11. Engine's entry $289.85 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.59, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $365.11 (+19.7%), stop $269.56 (−13.2%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $365.11 (+19.7% upside). Target $365.11 (+19.7%), stop $269.56 (−13.2%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $269.56.

What are the risks of investing in KEYS?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is KEYS overvalued or undervalued?

Keysight Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.5 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KEYS?

19 analysts rate KEYS, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $420.

What does Keysight Technologies Inc. do?Keysight Technologies develops electronic test and measurement hardware, software, and services for communications,...

Keysight Technologies develops electronic test and measurement hardware, software, and services for communications, aerospace/defense, semiconductor, and industrial customers globally across two segments. The company generated $5.4 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025, primarily from R&D applications, serving approximately 40,000 end customers in over 100 countries. An in-house semiconductor fab and $1,007 million R&D spend in fiscal 2025 support first-to-market solution positioning.

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