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MKS Inc. (MKSI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $270.07, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (81.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole and limited source suppliers.

MKS Inc. designs and manufactures instruments, subsystems, and specialty chemicals for semiconductor, electronics/packaging, and specialty industrial markets through three divisions (VSD, PSD, MSD). Revenue is derived from global equipment and consumables sales; ~81% from... Read more

$270.07+6.8% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#10 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
Stop $251.01Target $288.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$304.17+12.6%12 analysts
$288.17our TP
$270.07price
$304.17mean
$200
$400

Sell if holding. At $270.07, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (81.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole and limited source suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole and limited source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.6
P/E (Fwd)21.7
Mkt Cap$17.9B
EV/EBITDA24.1
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth10.6%
Beta1.90
Dividend0.38%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.76neutral
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$155-42.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational revenues81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For 2025, 2024, and 2023, international net revenues accounted for approximately 81%, 78%, and 75%, respectively, of our total net revenues.'
  • MEDIUMProductsemiconductor market43%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 43%, 42%, and 41% of our net revenues for 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively, were from sales to our semiconductor market.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole and limited source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our dependence on sole and limited source suppliers and international suppliers has negatively impacted, and could continue to impact, our ability to manufacture products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP General Counsel Kathleen Burke notified intent to retire effective June 1, 2026; remaining as special advisor through July 1. No successor named at time of filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
6.4
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $222.42Resistance $294.05

Price Targets

$251
$288
A.Upside+6.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MKSI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $270.07, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (81.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole and limited source suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $251.01. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the MKSI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $288.17 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $251.01. Stop-loss: $251.01.

What are the risks of investing in MKSI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (81.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole and limited source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MKSI overvalued or undervalued?

MKS Inc. trades at a P/E of 60.6 (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MKSI?

20 analysts cover MKSI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $304.

What does MKS Inc. do?MKS Inc. designs and manufactures instruments, subsystems, and specialty chemicals for semiconductor,...

MKS Inc. designs and manufactures instruments, subsystems, and specialty chemicals for semiconductor, electronics/packaging, and specialty industrial markets through three divisions (VSD, PSD, MSD). Revenue is derived from global equipment and consumables sales; ~81% from international customers in 2025, with the semiconductor market representing ~43% of net revenues.

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