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Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $63.41. BUY gates pass at $67.59, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $63.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Atlassian develops cloud-based team collaboration software (Jira, Confluence, Jira Service Management, Rovo AI) serving 300,000+ customers worldwide including over 80% of the Fortune 500 across 200+ countries. Revenue comes from subscriptions to Cloud and Data Center products,... Read more

$67.59+106.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#20 of 96 Software - Application
Entry $63.41(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $54.03Target $133.00(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 6.4:1Setup A.R:R 15.2:1
Analyst target$144.57+113.9%31 analysts
$133.00our TP
$67.59price
$144.57mean
$480

Wait for pullback to $63.41. BUY gates pass at $67.59, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $63.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$18.6B
EV/EBITDA-793.5
Profit Mgn-3.3%
ROE-13.5%
Rev Growth23.3%
Beta0.99
DividendNone
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV124%elevated
Max Pain$35-48.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Atlassian announced restructuring eliminating approximately 10% of the Company's workforce to rebalance for the AI era. Estimated charges of $225M-$236M: ~$169M-$174M cash (severance/benefits) and ~$56M-$62M office space reductions.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    James Chuong appointed CFO effective March 30, 2026. Previously CFO at LinkedIn (Microsoft subsidiary) since July 2021. Annual base salary $600,000, target bonus 75%. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.1
Bollinger
4.5
Gap
6.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
6.4
Growth Rank
7.1
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 6.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $56.01Resistance $75.95

Price Targets

$54
$63
$133
A.Upside+96.8%
A.R:R6.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)15.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEAM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $63.41. BUY gates pass at $67.59, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $63.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $133.00 (+96.8%), stop $54.03 (−25.1%), Setup A.R:R 15.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $133.00 (+106.7% upside). Target $133.00 (+96.8%), stop $54.03 (−25.1%), Setup A.R:R 15.2:1. Stop-loss: $54.03.

Is TEAM overvalued or undervalued?

Atlassian Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEAM?

39 analysts cover TEAM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $145.

What does Atlassian Corporation do?Atlassian develops cloud-based team collaboration software (Jira, Confluence, Jira Service Management, Rovo AI) serving...

Atlassian develops cloud-based team collaboration software (Jira, Confluence, Jira Service Management, Rovo AI) serving 300,000+ customers worldwide including over 80% of the Fortune 500 across 200+ countries. Revenue comes from subscriptions to Cloud and Data Center products, with R&D expenses at 51% of revenue in fiscal 2025.

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