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Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality.

Synaptics designs AI-enabled edge solutions including wireless connectivity, processors, touch, display, biometrics, and automotive HMI chips for IoT, enterprise, automotive, and mobile OEMs globally. Revenue depends on a concentrated base of large OEM and ODM customers; most... Read more

$94.12-1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#32 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $87.42Target $92.54(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$101.45+7.8%11 analysts
$92.54our TP
$94.12price
$101.45mean
$80
$125

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: concentrated base of OEMs and ODM customers
Target reached (-6.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA41.6
Profit Mgn-5.4%
ROE-4.5%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.71
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV86%elevated
Max Pain$40-57.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerconcentrated base of OEMs and ODM customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a concentrated base of OEMs and ODM customers, and the loss of a major customer, or such customer's failure to renew an existing project or contract...could materially harm our business'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Implied Vol
0.0
Volatility
0.3
Short Interest
1.3
Days To Cover
3.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
4.2
Beta
4.3
Debt Equity
7.2
High short interest justified: 22%High IV: 86%Above max pain $40Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
3.7
Value Rank
8.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
9.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
4.6
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
6.0
Piotroski F
8.9
Current Ratio
9.8
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 15%, FCF yield 4.9%)No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.39Resistance $94.43

Price Targets

$87
$93
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.4), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.19% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYNA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $87.42. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SYNA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.54 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $87.42. Stop-loss: $87.42.

What are the risks of investing in SYNA?

Concentration risk — Customer: concentrated base of OEMs and ODM customers; Target reached (-6.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is SYNA overvalued or undervalued?

Synaptics Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SYNA?

20 analysts cover SYNA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Synaptics Incorporated do?Synaptics designs AI-enabled edge solutions including wireless connectivity, processors, touch, display, biometrics,...

Synaptics designs AI-enabled edge solutions including wireless connectivity, processors, touch, display, biometrics, and automotive HMI chips for IoT, enterprise, automotive, and mobile OEMs globally. Revenue depends on a concentrated base of large OEM and ODM customers; most products are sold through contract manufacturers in Asia. Fiscal year ends in late June.

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